The New York Yankees snapped a four-game losing streak last night and will look to win a series when they wrap up a three-game set with the Baltimore Orioles.
Max Fried will grab the ball for the Yankees, and that usually means good things for New York. We expect that to be the case today.
Read all about it in my Yankees vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, May 13, 2026.
Who will win Yankees vs Orioles today: Yankees -1.5 (+100)
Kyle Bradish has a poor matchup in this spot today.
The metrics tell the story pretty plainly: the Baltimore Orioles right-hander's run value grades in the 20th percentile across his fastball, breaking ball, and overall pitching.
What's even more relevant to this matchup against the New York Yankees is his putrid barrel rate that sits in the 17th percentile of the sport. These are the pitchers that the Yankees typically have their way with.
On the other side, Max Fried pretty much speaks for himself as one of the AL's sturdiest starters. I projected this at -144 and would play it down to -130 for two units.
COVERS INTEL: Bradish's 11.9% walk rate ranks in the 21st percentile, which further puts his back against the wall when facing a patient Yankees lineup.
Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
I’m not sold that Baltimore scores against Fried.
The Orioles' hitting profile hasn’t changed much from a season ago, and the last time he faced them in Camden Yards, Fried posted seven scoreless innings.
Asking for that again is clearly a bit much, but his Top-10 percentile barrel rate should play well against a team so power-reliant.
With that in mind, I lean toward the Under, projecting a total of 8.2. Bradish is exploitable enough, but he can induce a high number of ground balls, which should limit the bottom of the Yankees lineup.
- ML/RL bets: 17-15, +2.16 units
- Over/Under bets: 21-12, +11.59 units
Yankees vs Orioles odds
- Moneyline: Yankees -173 | Orioles +142
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Orioles +1.5 (-126)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-121)
Yankees vs Orioles trend
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Orioles.
How to watch Yankees vs Orioles and game info
| Location | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| Date | Wednesday, May 13, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime Video, MASN |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Max Fried (4-2, 2.91 ERA) |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Kyle Bradish (1-5, 4.83 ERA) |
Yankees vs Orioles latest injuries
Yankees vs Orioles weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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