Angels vs Guardians Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: May 13, 2026 , 07:05 AM ET • 4 min read

Parker Messick has been a revelation for the Guardians. Our expert MLB predictions expect the Cleveland southpaw to pitch the Guardians to a series sweep over the light-hitting Angels.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
LAA
39 %
CLE
61 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u7.0 (-108)
Read Analysis
Parker Messick of the Cleveland Guardians MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Parker Messick of the Cleveland Guardians MLB

The Cleveland Guardians seek a series sweep when they host the Los Angeles Angels in Game 3 of their three-game set.

Cleveland starter Parker Messick has been a revelation, and my Angels vs. Guardians predictions expect a convincing Guardians victory today.

Read on for my MLB picks for Wednesday, May 13. 

Who will win Angels vs Guardians today: Guardians -1.5 (+156)

The Cleveland Guardians send Parker Messick to the mound against a Los Angeles Angels lineup without many answers for left-handed pitching. 

Messick owns a 2.30 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through eight starts, with his fastball-changeup combination generating elite run value on both pitches. 

Three of the Angels' top four hitters rank among MLB's individual strikeout leaders, and Los Angeles owns the highest raw strikeout total in baseball with 419 on the season. 

With Cleveland's bullpen pitching decently over the last two weeks, the plus-money value is there. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: The top of the Angels' lineup, Zach Neto (62), Mike Trout (49), and Jorge Soler (52) have combined for 163 strikeouts across 556 plate appearances.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Angels vs Guardians Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-108)


Two left-handed starters take the mound in Cleveland, and neither figures to allow much damage. 

Messick ranks in the 85th percentile in chase rate with a 28.3% strikeout rate, while Reid Detmers owns a 2.90 xERA and a 91st-percentile breaking ball that neutralizes opposing lineups. 

The Angels have struck out 115 times against left-handed pitching this season, while the Guardians lack much power against lefties, evidenced by their .148 ISO.

With two southpaws dealing and sharp money moving the total down to seven runs, a low-scoring affair is in the cards today. 

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 6-11, -3.75 units
  • Over/Under bets: 6-9, -4.30 units

Angels vs Guardians odds

  • Moneyline: Angels +133 | Guardians -138
  • Run line: Angels +1.5 (-170) | Guardians -1.5 (+163)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+127) | Under 7.5 (-133)

Angels vs Guardians trend

The Under is 3-7 in the Los Angeles Angels' previous 10 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Guardians.

How to watch Angels vs Guardians and game info

Location Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Date Wednesday, May 13, 2026
First pitch 1:10 p.m. ET
TV Angels.TV, CLEGuardians.TV
Angels starting pitcher Reid Detmers
(1-3, 4.33 ERA)
Guardians starting pitcher Parker Messick
(4-1, 2.30 ERA)

Angels vs Guardians latest injuries

Angels vs Guardians weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo