MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sal Stewart's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Sal Stewart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph lately.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Coby Mayo has a ton of pop (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell doesn't generate many whiffs (15th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.. Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Taylor Ward hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Jun 28 • 1:37 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. Wyatt Langford has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. Kazuma Okamoto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Hunter Brown gives Houston a massive starting pitching advantage over Casey Mize, who allows way too much contact. Detroit is striking out a lot lately, and Houston’s bullpen has the pinpoint control and elite swing-and-miss stuff to easily protect this very reasonable price.

Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Cleveland's hitters are in an absolute funk right now, striking out a ton and barely scoring runs. George Kirby throws elite strikes, which will completely frustrate them. If he hands the lead over, Seattle’s bullpen is currently the absolute best, most untouchable unit in baseball.

Total Bases
Colt Emerson logo
Colt Emerson o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Colt Emerson will have an advantage today.. Over the past week, Colt Emerson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 16.7%.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cedric Mullins's BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 88.8-mph in the past 7 days.
Total Bases
Tommy Troy logo
Tommy Troy o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tommy Troy's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Over the last 14 days, Tommy Troy has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.9% to 20.8%.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Mets are scraping by with an undecided pitching plan, while Philadelphia is throwing a solid starter in Jesus Luzardo. More importantly, the Phillies' bullpen is completely locked in right now, walking almost nobody and making it incredibly tough for the Mets late.

Total Bases
Gabriel Rincones Jr. logo
Gabriel Rincones Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°.. Over the past week, Gabriel Rincones's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 109.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 14th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #7 stadium in the game for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of the day at 79%.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila in today's game.
Total Bases
Tristan Peters logo
Tristan Peters u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Tristan Peters is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. Tristan Peters has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.5-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. In the past week's worth of games, Tristan Peters has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Royce Lewis has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for lefty home runs.. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for lefty home runs.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:15 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 94.3-mph over the last 14 days.
Total Hits
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Griffin Conine's batting average skill is projected to be in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Griffin Conine is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Griffin Conine has been pinch hit for 25% of the time.. Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Griffin Conine in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Jun 28 • 3:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total Bases
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. 17% of the time that Josh Lowe has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 3rd-worst venue in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Josh Lowe has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jun 28 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Rafael Devers will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.. When it comes to plate discipline, Rafael Devers's ability is quite bad, sporting a 3.54 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 18th percentile.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Matt Chapman will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, Jun 28 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the worst ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Michael King will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Andy Pages's launch angle lately (24.2° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.3° seasonal figure.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jun 28 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio u1.5 Total Bases (-275)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.. 25% of the time that Andruw Monasterio has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 4th-best pitching conditions on the slate today.. The New York Yankees infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.