We're mostly focused on totals — specifically Unders — with our MLB picks for Wednesday's slate.
See why our baseball experts expect Rockies/Pirates and Giants/Dodgers to stay low scoring... plus the White Sox to find success behind a strong pitching matchup.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: COL/PIT o8.5 |
-104 |
 Jon Metler: CWS ML |
-104 |
 Joe Osborne: SF/LAD u8.5 |
-133 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Rockies/Pirates Over 8.5
Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket
Jose Quintana might be one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball right now, with his 3.90 ERA hiding behind the fourth-worst xFIP among MLB starters. He’s also backed by a Colorado Rockies bullpen that owns the fourth-worst ERA in baseball over the last two weeks. Pittsburgh Pirates starter Mitch Keller can also get added to the “lucky” list, with a .246 BABIP that is well below the league (and his career) average, and the Pirates' bullpen has been even worse than Colorado's lately. There’s a slight chance of rain, but 13-mph winds blowing out to center field are not going to help two fly-ball-heavy starters.
Jon Metler's expert pick: White Sox moneyline
Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket
The Royals' lineup is built around right-handed bats, led by the red-hot Bobby Witt Jr., but this is a uniquely difficult matchup against Noah Schultz, who isn’t a typical left-handed pitcher. The 6-foot-10 southpaw throws from a low three-quarter arm slot and features a sweeping slider that dives toward the back foot of righty hitters. That combination of angle and movement makes it extremely difficult for righties to pull the ball in the air with authority, limiting a lot of KC's power upside. Outside of Witt, the only other major power threat is Vinnie Pasquantino, who has historically struggled against left-handed pitching. Meanwhile, the Chicago White Sox are positioned to create matchup problems of their own, with the ability to stack as many as seven left-handed bats against Seth Lugo throughout the lineup. When you factor in both the pitching matchup and the platoon advantages, I think the White Sox should be trading closer to a 56-cent (-127) favorite in this spot.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Giants/Dodgers Under 8.5
Price: 57¢ (-133) at Polymarket
Runs should be at a premium tonight, as Shohei Ohtani is putting together the best pitching season of his career, posting a 0.97 ERA across six starts — with five of those games staying Under the total. He’s also been dominant at Dodger Stadium since joining the team, allowing one earned run or fewer in all 10 of his regular-season home starts! Ohtani has owned this San Francisco Giants lineup, holding them to a .525 OPS in 73 combined ABs, but his counterpart Robbie Ray should not be overlooked either. Not to be outdone, Ray looks to be back in ace form with a 2.76 ERA, and the Los Angeles Dodgers have been below average vs. left-handed pitching in recent weeks.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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