Milwaukee vs St. Louis   Picks & Props

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Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Brandon Sproat will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Walker in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, compiling a .408 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .075 disparity.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.7°, Alec Burleson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.7°) in the last 14 days.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Vaughn today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Brandon Sproat will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Extreme flyball bats like Sal Frelick generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and will be challenged by MLB's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang in today's matchup.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Brandon Sproat will have the handedness advantage against Ivan Herrera in today's game.. Ivan Herrera has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Garrett Mitchell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Typically, batters like Garrett Mitchell who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andre Pallante.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 11th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. This year, David Hamilton has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Pedro Pages ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Brandon Sproat will have the handedness advantage over Pedro Pages in today's game.

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Cesar Prieto will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cesar Prieto will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Victor Scott II ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Sporting a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jackson Chourio finds himself in the 75th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jackson Chourio has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), ranking in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. JJ Wetherholt will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Sproat today.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Ivan Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Using Statcast metrics, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Nathan Church will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's game.. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for power, Nathan Church has hit 24 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Sporting a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jackson Chourio finds himself in the 75th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.7) provides evidence that Andrew Vaughn has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 18.4 actual HR/600.. Andrew Vaughn's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball since the start of last season: 84th percentile.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #30 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 52°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today.. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Victor Scott II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph average.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) provides evidence that Victor Scott II has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .207 actual batting average.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Cesar Prieto will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cesar Prieto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Masyn Winn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Masyn Winn has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 13.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 18th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante today.. Garrett Mitchell has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.95 ft/sec to 29.61 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.. Sal Frelick has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.6-mph.. When it comes to plate discipline, Sal Frelick's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 92nd percentile.. Sal Frelick has compiled a .280 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Pedro Pages's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Luis Rengifo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .229 BA is a good deal lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.. David Hamilton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.5-mph.. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 9.1% on the season to 27.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game.. Using Statcast metrics, Jake Bauers is in the 84th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .338.

As it relates to his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.7) provides evidence that Andrew Vaughn has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 18.6 actual HR/600.. Andrew Vaughn's 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball since the start of last season: 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Ivan Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Using Statcast metrics, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game.. Using Statcast metrics, Jake Bauers is in the 84th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .338.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. JJ Wetherholt will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Sproat today.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today.. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Victor Scott II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph average.. Over the last week, Victor Scott II's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Nathan Church will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's game.. Nathan Church's launch angle in recent games (17° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 11.6° seasonal figure.. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for power, Nathan Church has hit 24 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Masyn Winn has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 13.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. William Contreras has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last year's 92.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jackson Chourio has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), ranking in the 78th percentile.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante today.. Garrett Mitchell has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 3.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 10.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Garrett Mitchell ranks in the 75th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .328.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.. David Hamilton has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.5-mph.. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 9.1% on the season to 27.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Sal Frelick's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 17.6%.. Sal Frelick has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.6-mph.. When it comes to plate discipline, Sal Frelick's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 92nd percentile.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Cesar Prieto will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cesar Prieto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. In the past week, Luis Rengifo's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.. Despite posting a .230 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Rengifo has suffered from bad luck given the .056 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .286.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Sproat to throw 84 pitches in today's game (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Busch Stadium profiles as the #29 venue in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Sproat in this game.. Brandon Sproat will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Brandon Sproat has put up an 8.5% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andre Pallante in the 12th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.. Busch Stadium profiles as the #29 venue in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Andre Pallante's sinker percentage has spiked by 7.2% from last year to this one (13.2% to 20.4%) .. Considering the 0.68 discrepancy between Andre Pallante's 7.47 K/9 and his 6.79 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.. Grading out in the 4th percentile, Andre Pallante has posted a 16.2% Strikeout% since the start of last season.