MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sal Stewart's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Taylor Ward hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Dylan Crews hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Hunter Brown gives Houston a massive starting pitching advantage over Casey Mize, who allows way too much contact. Detroit is striking out a lot lately, and Houston’s bullpen has the pinpoint control and elite swing-and-miss stuff to easily protect this very reasonable price.

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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Cleveland's hitters are in an absolute funk right now, striking out a ton and barely scoring runs. George Kirby throws elite strikes, which will completely frustrate them. If he hands the lead over, Seattle’s bullpen is currently the absolute best, most untouchable unit in baseball.

Total Bases
Kahlil Watson logo
Kahlil Watson u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kahlil Watson in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Among all stadiums, Progressive Field's centerfield fences are the 7th-deepest.. Among all parks, the 4th-highest average fence height are at Progressive Field.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Mets are scraping by with an undecided pitching plan, while Philadelphia is throwing a solid starter in Jesus Luzardo. More importantly, the Phillies' bullpen is completely locked in right now, walking almost nobody and making it incredibly tough for the Mets late.

Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citi Field projects as the #26 park in the game for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Juan Soto will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+112)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Braden Montgomery's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #7 stadium in the game for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest in MLB.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of the day at 79%.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Braden Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Luinder Avila in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 14th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #7 stadium in the game for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of the day at 79%.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner today.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for lefty home runs.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. American Family Field ranks as the #8 field in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Jun 28 • 3:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Denzer Guzman logo
Denzer Guzman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Denzer Guzman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.. Denzer Guzman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jun 28 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Robbie Ray in today's game.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, Jun 28 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Extreme flyball batters like Xander Bogaerts usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jun 28 • 7:20 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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