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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 22, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+110 
|
o7.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -200 
|
|
4.44 |
-125
|
u7.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +172 
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rasmussens last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 during game 1 of a series.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in Rodons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
+105
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -205 
|
|
4.35 |
-120
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +180
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Bassitts last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
o0.5+750
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+136
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -159
|
|
4.29 |
-155
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140 
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Detroit
- Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
u0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+120
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.22 |
-135
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Wheelers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Wheelers last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
o0.5+224
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+130
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.13 |
-145
|
u7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +153
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 6-0 in Pallantes last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.60 |
+110
|
o6.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.82 |
-125
|
u7.0 -125
|
-1.5 +175
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+222
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.19 |
+115
|
o6.0 -137
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
|
3.67 |
-130
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +176
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in Rasmussens last 4 starts on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Heliot Ramos u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
u0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+160
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -131
|
|
5.25 |
-184
|
u9.5 -124
|
-1.5 +116
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Williamsons last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
-117
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +149
|
|
4.31 |
+104
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -164
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in Kays last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Royals are 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
o0.5+258
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.12 |
+181
|
o6.5 -118
|
+2.5 -225
|
|
3.72 |
-210
|
u7.0 -150
|
-2.5 +180
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Junks last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Total Home Runs (+2500)
o0.5+2500
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+125
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.39 |
-140
|
u8.5 -128
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Texas
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
o0.5+228
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.10 |
-190
|
o10.5 -125
|
-1.5 -122
|
|
4.89 |
+165
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 +105
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Sorokas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
o2.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+125
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.41 |
-142
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +158
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-2 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Javiers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Javiers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
-107
|
o9.5 +101
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
5.12 |
-108
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -175
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Kikuchis last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kikuchis last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in Bassos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 10-1 in last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-130
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
3.34 |
+115
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -150
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Marcelo Mayer u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
+106
|
o8.0 -116
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
4.91 |
-120
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+187)
o1.5+187
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Detroit
- Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-2 in Twins last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.09 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.09 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Nolas last 7 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Liberatores last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Coles last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Reds last 7 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 7-0 in Feddes last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Rice owns a .508 xSLG and 14.0% barrel rate, giving him one of the strongest power profiles remaining in New York's lineup. Martinez's contact suppression makes this a difficult matchup overall, but his complete lack of strikeout stuff gives Rice an advantage. Rice also hits Martinez's most serviceable pitches so well.
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+361)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Rice owns a .508 xSLG and 14.0% barrel rate, giving him one of the strongest power profiles remaining in New York's lineup. Martinez's contact suppression makes this a difficult matchup overall, but his complete lack of strikeout stuff gives Rice an advantage. Especially since Rice hits Martinez's most serviceable pitches so well.
TOR
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Hits
Dylan Beavers u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Dylan Beavers has been pinch hit for 20% of the time.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for hurlers.. Extreme groundball bats like Dylan Beavers generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer.. Dylan Beavers has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.. Over the last 14 days, Dylan Beavers's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 83.9 mph.
Total Hits
Gunnar Henderson u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for hurlers.. In the last week, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.7 mph to 84.8 mph.. Gunnar Henderson has notched a .225 batting average this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.
WAS
@
DET
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.1% to 19.4%.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Anderson throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
MIL
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.
STL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Alec Burleson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 22.2%.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Andre Pallante in today's game.
CLE
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:45 PM ET
Moneyline
BOS (-123)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m on the Boston Red Sox up to 55%.
Payton Tolle ranks first among all of today’s projected starters in xFIP and SIERA over the past 30 days.
Isolating Parker Messick’s three most-used pitches, each of Boston’s projected Top-4 batters own xwOBAs of .390 or higher against southpaws.
The pitching should be great for both teams but I have more trust in the top of Boston’s order to produce.
Total
u6.5 (+105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Scoring runs should be like pulling teeth for both sides, making the Under an appealing play to 52%.
Parker Messick owns a remarkably strong 1.79 ERA through 13 starts in pitcher-friendly conditions.
Payton Tolle’s xERA sits at 2.38 over 11 starts in favorable pitching weather, and the Cleveland Guardians rank 27th in xwOBA vs. lefties the past month
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. Over the past week, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.
Strikeouts Thrown
Max Fried o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+136)
Projection 5.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Max Fried in the 79th percentile among all SPs in the majors.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Fried to throw 99 pitches in today's outing (most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. Max Fried has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today's game.
CIN
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.
CHW
@
KC
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 field in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Because of Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Salvador Perez will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Anthony Kay o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+108)
Projection 4.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Projected catcher Jake Rogers projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 7th-best of the day for mound aces.. Anthony Kay's 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 82nd percentile among all starters.. Anthony Kay's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60.3% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.. Considering the 0.53 deviation between Anthony Kay's 7.31 K/9 and his 7.84 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see positive regression in the future.
MIA
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Janson Junk o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+136)
Projection 3.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.
Total Hits
Seiya Suzuki u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage over Seiya Suzuki today.. Over the last week, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.
NYM
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 22 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Josh Jung o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Josh Jung's recent batted-ball profile is extremely appealing, highlighted by a 64.7% hard-hit rate and 23.5% barrel rate over his last six games. He's also elevating nearly half his contact, while Manaea has surrendered 1.63 HR/9 on the road. Jung has legitimate long-ball upside tonight.
Total
o7.5 (-123)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 56%. There are several paths to offense in this matchup. Gore has been vulnerable recently, Manaea isn't untouchable, and neither bullpen profiles as dominant. With New York producing well at the plate and the total sitting at only 7.5, it shouldn't take a true slugfest to get this Over.
AZ
@
COL
Tue, Sep 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.. Mickey Moniak is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+131)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the majors's 12th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.
HOU
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.
LAA
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 5.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Athletics have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Henry Bolte, Zack Gelof, Lawrence Butler, Denzel Clarke, Max Muncy).
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.
MIN
@
SF
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Marcelo Mayer u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year, Marcelo Mayer has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Among all stadiums, the tallest average fence height are at Oracle Park.. Ranked in the 19th percentile, Marcelo Mayer's average exit velocity of 85.8 mph ranks among the lowest in the league this year.. Marcelo Mayer and his 2.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
JC
Jonah Cox o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jonah Cox is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jonah Cox is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest humidity on the slate today at 92%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Jonah Cox has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
SD
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 22 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+373)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been scoring hot at the dish, leaving the yard five times in his last nine games. Dodger Stadium's 124 Park Factor for home runs means that there's an increased chance of Tatis continuing his fine form by popping a long ball.
Play to 55%. Michael King has induced a 17% soft contact rate in his last eight starts and ranks in the 85th percentile in average exit velocity and the 88th percentile in hard-hit rate. L.A.'s bullpen has a 3.18 FIP and league-best 2.76 SIERA in relief across the last 14 days, and San Diego will have Mason Miller and all its best arms rested after Monday's off day.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
