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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+120 
|
o6.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -205 
|
|
4.03 |
-134
|
u6.5 -105
|
-1.5 +180 
|
Baltimore
NY Yankees
Top Projection
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+429)
o0.5+475
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-115
|
o6.5 -105
|
-1.5 +162
|
|
4.25 |
+102 
|
u6.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.05 |
+145
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -148 
|
|
4.70 |
-162
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +145 
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
-108
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.17 |
-106
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-127
|
o7.5 -137
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.73 |
+115
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -149 
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
Keibert Ruiz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1300)
o0.5+1500
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.50 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.01 |
-134
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-124
|
o8.0 -112
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.56 |
+106
|
u8.5 -122
|
+1.5 -157
|
Atlanta
Miami
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-127
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +127
|
|
3.80 |
+120
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -145
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+224
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+194
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.04 |
-200
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+350
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+151
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.17 |
-172
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
u0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.61 |
-105
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +150
|
Texas
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.33 |
-170
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
5.25 |
+148
|
u8.5 -106
|
+1.5 -115
|
Houston
Athletics
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+116
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -194
|
|
4.20 |
-132
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +172
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+115
|
o6.5 -130
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.56 |
-130
|
u7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
-375
|
o7.0 -125
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
2.53 |
+305
|
u7.5 -124
|
+2.5 +106
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Gamboa throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an edge today.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dansby Swanson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.7-mph in the past week.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.4%.. Despite posting a .221 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Narvaez has had some very poor luck given the .058 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.. Carlos Narvaez's 90.1-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the league this year: 76th percentile.. Carlos Narvaez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), checking in at the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+161)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.
Total Home Runs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total Home Runs (+730)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in the game for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today's game.. When it comes to plate discipline, Spencer Horwitz's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.38 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Given Jonathan Pintaro's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Juan Soto has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.6-mph figure.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 14.2% to 17.6%.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has paced 29.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Placing in the 85th percentile, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Hits
Ernie Clement u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ernie Clement is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Ernie Clement's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.9-mph figure last year has fallen off to 84.1-mph.. Ernie Clement's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 45.5% to 40%.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Eury Perez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-154)
Projection 5.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eury Perez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.. Eury Perez has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 78th percentile.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Eury Perez (40.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected batting order.. Eury Perez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #6 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+276)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak's launch angle this season (21.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° angle last year.
Total RBIs
Kyle Teel o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Kyle Teel will have an advantage in today's game.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+163)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 18th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
Projection 0.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Yunior Marte throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 45.8%.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
