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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 20, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.98 |
-170 
|
o7.5 -129 
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
3.42 |
+145
|
u8.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -118 
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Sanchezs last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 9-1 in Sanchezs last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5+173
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
-120
|
o8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
5.05 |
+105 
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -162
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Royals are 5-1 in Wachas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bachars last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5+212
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+128
|
o7.5 -132 
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.04 |
-145
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +146
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Jaxs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5+178
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.45 |
+200 
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -113
|
|
4.58 |
-230
|
u7.5 -123
|
-1.5 +102
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.93 |
-154
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.77 |
+135
|
u10.0 -115
|
+1.5 -120
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
+120
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.77 |
-136
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Over is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Astros are 8-1 in Browns last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
+102
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.78 |
-116
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 10-1 in Martins last 11 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+263
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+126
|
o8.5 -134
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.94 |
-140
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
o0.5+203
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.45 |
+145
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.32 |
-160
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +138
|
Toronto
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League West.
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+217
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.60 |
-155
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 -104
|
|
5.01 |
+141
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -110
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rockies last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 interleague starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
-120
|
o8.0 -143
|
+1.5 -250
|
|
4.29 |
+105
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +200
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
+116
|
o7.5 -129
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.59 |
-134
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +162
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.22 |
-110
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -240
|
|
4.67 |
-105
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +190
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. American League East.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+225
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 +101
|
|
5.29 |
-275
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 -115
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Matt Wilkinson o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
o2.5+125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.03 |
-200
|
o7.0 -150
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.61 |
+180
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 interleague starts.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Youngs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+422)
o0.5+422
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Yesavages last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.99 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
PHI
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132)
Projection 2.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
KC
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
PIT (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the game's 19th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. PNC Park profiles as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most humidity on the slate at 90%.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
BOS
@
TB
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Patrick Sandoval o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+525)
Projection 4.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 6th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.. Patrick Sandoval's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (58.5% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+139)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Considering Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Junior Caminero will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
ATH
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Shea Langeliers has recorded a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Nathaniel Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The league's 4th-highest fences can be found at Progressive Field.. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Over the past week, Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 89.7 mph to 86 mph.
CHC
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Rhett Lowder o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+400)
Projection 4.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tallying 93.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Rhett Lowder falls in the 84th percentile.. D.J. Reyburn projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Reds's expected catcher in today's game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best field in the game for strikeouts.. Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Rhett Lowder will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like JJ Bleday tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.. JJ Bleday will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
ATL
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuna Jr. leads MLB with seven dingers in September, including three in his last four games.
The Braves star has an insane .714 SLG and 1.096 OPS this month, while he also carries a .444 average and 1.111 OPS in his career when facing Astros starter Hunter Brown.
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Martin Perez has been solid down the stretch, and he'll be backed up by a Braves bullpen that ranks third in ERA (3.41).
Atlanta should be able to quell a Houston offense that’s averaging just 2.89 runs per game over their last nine contests, with three runs or fewer in six of those outings.
DET
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
John Peck o1.5 Total Bases (+226)
Projection 1.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Peck in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties.. John Peck has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In the last two weeks, John Peck's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 57.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Munetaka Murakami will have the handedness advantage over Troy Melton in today's game.
WAS
@
STL
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+119)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Andres Chaparro pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Andres Chaparro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Andres Chaparro's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.2 mph to 88.7 mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andres Chaparro's true offensive skill to be a .315, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .062 disparity between that figure and his actual .377 wOBA.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+128)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.
TOR
@
TEX
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Evan Carter o0.5 Total RBIs (+292)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Evan Carter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braydon Fisher today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Evan Carter has been unlucky this year, compiling a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .037 gap.
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Despite posting a .323 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has experienced some negative variance given the .023 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.. By putting up a .411 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, George Springer is ranked in the 99th percentile for hitting ability.
SEA
@
COL
Sun, Sep 20 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kade Anderson today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Ezequiel Tovar will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+121)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as MLB's 14th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kade Anderson throws from, Hunter Goodman will have the upper hand today.
MIN
@
LAA
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:07 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Royce Lewis o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.8°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° mark last year.. Royce Lewis's launch angle recently (24.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 20.8° seasonal angle.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.8°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° mark last year.. Royce Lewis's launch angle recently (24.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 20.8° seasonal angle.
MIA
@
SD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 14.2° angle last season.
Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Heriberto Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 93.6-mph EV.
NYY
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Heliot Ramos o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heliot Ramos's true offensive talent to be a .329, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .024 gap between that figure and his actual .305 wOBA.
SF
@
LAD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
MW
Matt Wilkinson o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 3.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brennan Miller grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 7th-best field in the majors for strikeouts.. Given that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over flyball hitters, Matthew Wilkinson and his 39.9% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot today matching up with 3 opposing FB hitters.
MIL
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 7:20 PM ET
Total RBIs
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+323)
Projection 1.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today.. Colton Cowser will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
