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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-136 
|
o7.0 -113
|
-1.5 +131 
|
|
3.98 |
+125 
|
u7.5 -122 
|
+1.5 -137
|
Cleveland
- Over is 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Guardians are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Camerons last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Camerons last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+210
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -103
|
|
5.16 |
-225
|
u8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 -110
|
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Suganos last 6 interleague starts.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+160 
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.32 |
-182
|
u8.0 -124
|
-1.5 +120
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
-120
|
o7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +143
|
|
3.62 |
+108
|
u7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -155
|
Texas
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in deGroms last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Ryans last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.80 |
-175
|
o9.0 -105
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.89 |
+160 
|
u9.5 -128
|
+1.5 -105 
|
Houston
- Under is 7-1 in Browns last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Browns last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
- are 6-0 in Lopezs last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
+115
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.03 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Pfaadts last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
o0.5+245
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+104
|
o6.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.56 |
-115
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +175
|
LA Angels
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 overall.
- Under is 8-0 in Detmers' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Millers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+350
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.77 |
-300
|
o7.5 +100
|
-2.5 -104
|
|
2.56 |
+275
|
u8.0 -120
|
+2.5 -102
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Skubals last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Skubals last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+135
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.53 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +141
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 interleague starts.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.56 |
-320
|
o7.5 +110
|
-1.5 -181
|
|
|
2.65 |
+270
|
u7.5 -119
|
+1.5 +149
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-2 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
San Francisco
- Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.10 |
-130
|
o8.5 +104
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.65 |
+116
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -143
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
- Over is 10-1-1 in Mets last 12 during game 2 of a series.
Washington
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Irvins last 6 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 road games.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.55 |
-129
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
|
4.60 |
+110
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -155
|
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.06 |
+195
|
o7.5 -139
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
|
4.85 |
-230
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 interleague games.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.88 |
+160
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
|
4.31 |
-188
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +121
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts overall.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Mays last 7 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jo Adell hits for a ton of power against southpaws. He is sporting a .265 ISO and 11.8% barrel rate vs. lefties, and those numbers rise even further when isolating Noah Cameron’s pitch mix.
Adell’s ISO sits at .285 facing fastballs, changeups, and cutters, which are the three pitches Cameron throws at least 20% of the time against RHH.
His bat speed vs. that combination is also tops on the Guardians.
Total
u7.5 (-125)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I am taking the Under to 56%.
Scoring against Gavin Williams is challenging enough, and it won’t get much easier when he exits the game. The Kansas City Royals will have to contend with the league’s best bullpen by wOBA in September.
The Cleveland Guardians are in poor form against left-handed pitching, hitting .228 with a measly 3.8% barrel rate this month.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-223)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Sean Burke gives Chicago a significant edge on the mound after posting a 0.82 ERA and 3.10 FIP across his last two appearances. Colorado counters with Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns a 5.10 FIP over his previous five starts and has continued to surrender plenty of hard contact. The White Sox are the stronger side.
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. This year, Randal Grichuk has been pulled from the game early in 20% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. This contest is expected to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tomoyuki Sugano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randal Grichuk today.. Randal Grichuk has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIL (-179)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Neither starter enters in dominant form, but Robert Gasser has been much better at keeping opposing hitters from doing serious damage. He's held opponents below a 30% hard-hit rate over his last two starts and has surrendered just 0.91 HR/9 at home this season. That gives Milwaukee the edge over Michael McGreevy and St. Louis.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits.. Among all parks, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
o7.0 (-120)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The Rangers have gone Over in five of their last six games, and this pitching matchup could make it six of seven. Jacob deGrom has been getting lit up on the road all season where he has a 5.35 ERA. Joe Ryan has been awful since the All-Star break, allowing 11 homers with a 7.62 ERA in six appearances. With both bullpens also struggling, seven runs looks too low.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+173)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.. Jake Burger has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.
HOU
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
It must be the end of the season because we're getting Yordan Alvarez at one of his best prices in weeks, in maybe the best home-run matchup on the entire slate. Alvarez should be priced at 3.2x, not 3.7x, today against Jacob Lopez in Sacramento. Lopez looks like he wants to call it a season after giving up 10 runs in his last start and 19 runs over his last three starts, spanning just 12.1 innings. Lopez has also allowed multiple homers in three of his last four games, and Alvarez has taken him deep once in five meetings. This is the best September hitting weather, with winds blowing out, a tired starter who looks ready to wrap it up, and the price is right. Full send here.
Total Home Runs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total Home Runs (+710)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
This was a run-not-walk trade at a fair price of 6x, not 8.1x. Zack Gelof just launched two homers last night in Sacramento and has five dingers over his last 10 games. He has 22 on the season and gets the best hitting conditions on the board today at Sutter Health Park, with winds blowing out and decent temperatures. Hunter Brown is on the other side, which is a big reason why this is priced this long, but Gelof has a .936 OPS at home compared to .664 on the road and has seen Brown 14 times. The numbers aren't great, but there is some familiarity there. Sutter Health Park can get to even the best pitchers, which is why it finished as the best Over park of the season at better than 60%.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Corbin Carroll hasn’t hit for average, but he’s generated barrels at a remarkably high 20.2% clip against fastballs, splitters, and sliders over the last 25 games. That has led to an ISO of nearly .240.
It’s also worth noting Carroll’s had Casey Mize’s number, albeit over a limited sample. He is 4-6 with four hard hit balls and a triple against Mize.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
A 7.5 total is a touch low, and I’m jumping on the Over to 54%.
Case Mize has allowed 3.3 runs per start with the San Diego Padres despite failing to complete five innings on average.
Brandon Pfaadt has not been sharp (4.63 ERA, 4.23 xERA) over the last month. That should be exposed by a Padres offense sitting Top-5 in wOBA and SLG against righties in September.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Reid Detmers o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-139)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Detmers has been generating plenty of swings and misses lately, posting 9.60 K/9 over his last five appearances and clearing this number in three of his previous four. He also punched out eight Mariners just 10 days ago, and Seattle has averaged 8.71 strikeouts per game at home this season. Another strong strikeout performance is well within reach.
Total Bases
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Betts is seeing the ball exceptionally well, batting .458 over the last week with seven of his 11 hits going for extra bases. He's topped 1.5 total bases in five of his last seven games and now draws struggling rookie Yunior Marte along with a Giants bullpen carrying a 6.78 FIP over its last 22 innings. Betts should have plenty of opportunities to stay hot.
Total Home Runs
Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+434)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
PIT
@
DET
Sat, Sep 26 • 1:10 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit sits at the top of baseball over the last 14 days with a 137 wRC+, pairing a .380 on-base percentage with a 3.53 bullpen SIERA. Justin Verlander takes the mound at Comerica Park for the final start of his Hall of Fame career. Facing a Pittsburgh bullpen carrying a 1.34 WHIP and 4.61 ERA, the Tigers hold massive offensive and bullpen advantages in an emotional home spot.
CLE
@
KC
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-129)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Cleveland enters the weekend in an all-out battle for the AL Central crown and the crucial first-round bye (No. 2 seed). Tanner Bibee gets the start, backed by a bullpen that ranks third in MLB over the last two weeks with a 2.99 SIERA and 31.3% strikeout rate. Kansas City's bullpen has faltered down the stretch (5.08 ERA, 1.47 WHIP), giving Cleveland a major late-inning edge with season-defining motivation.
AZ
@
SD
Sat, Sep 26 • 8:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+106)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Arizona has rattled off five straight wins to stay alive in the wild-card race and gives the ball to Corbin Burnes in a must-win game. San Diego has already punched their postseason ticket, while the Diamondbacks offense has caught fire over the last fortnight (128 wRC+, .500 SLG, 3.49 bullpen SIERA). Getting Burnes backed by high urgency against Walker Buehler provides the premier late-game value on the board.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
