MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.. Spencer Torkelson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
James Outman logo
James Outman o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, James Outman will have an advantage in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.. James Outman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Zach Neto will have an edge today.. Zach Neto's launch angle this season (22.5°) is quite a bit better than his 17.7° figure last year.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Willy Adames will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Willy Adames's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Willy Adames's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.5%.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ryan Waldschmidt logo
Ryan Waldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Nationals Park has the 10th-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ryan Waldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Foster Griffin today.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. This year, Andres Chaparro has been pinch hit for in 70% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.. George Springer has been unlucky this year, compiling a .309 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .356 — a .047 deviation.
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height in the majors.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Willson Contreras meets a tough challenge today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (48.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Victor Mesa Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Victor Mesa Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's matchup.. Victor Mesa Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (53.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup.. Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. By putting up a 1.65 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Holliday has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (43.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (68.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Isaac Paredes's 23.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 99th percentile.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Royce Lewis is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst on the slate).. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
Projection 2.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Burger has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst park in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jake Burger will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Kyle Tucker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.5% over the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Extreme flyball bats like Andy Pages are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Over the last 14 days, Andy Pages's 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game.. JJ Bleday is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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