St. Louis @ Toronto props

Nathan Lukes has been pulled from the game early 33% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 9th-worst venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nathan Lukes's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 89-mph in the last 14 days. In the last 14 days, Nathan Lukes has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Rogers Centre projects as the #21 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game. George Springer's launch angle this season (8.7°) is significantly lower than his 11.8° mark last season. In notching a .247 BABIP this year, George Springer grades out in the 7th percentile.

Rogers Centre projects as the #21 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a tough challenge today.

Luken Baker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Luken Baker has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .298 figure is deflated compared to his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Will Wagner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Will Wagner will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today. Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Will Wagner will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Addison Barger will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Addison Barger has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 91.9-mph over the last two weeks. As it relates to his batting average, Addison Barger has suffered from bad luck this year. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.34 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Ivan Herrera has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is considerably lower than his .348 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .292 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ivan Herrera has performed in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Leo Jimenez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Leo Jimenez's launch angle lately (6.4° over the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 11.7° seasonal mark. Leo Jimenez has notched a .323 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph recently. Despite posting a .230 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has experienced some negative variance given the .079 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309. Jordan Walker has put up a .265 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game. Sporting a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Alec Burleson finds himself in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Masyn Winn has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week's worth of games. Masyn Winn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 90.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 15.3% on the season to 44.4% in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.

The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis De Los Santos will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Davis Schneider has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. In the last 14 days, Nolan Arenado's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Over the last 14 days, Paul Goldschmidt has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.6% to 18.2%. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV.

The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Pedro Pages has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games. Pedro Pages has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark. Over the last two weeks, Pedro Pages's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, putting up a .288 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .030 gap. Sporting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year, Alejandro Kirk has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre. Brian Serven will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Brian Serven's quickness has gotten better this year. His 25.14 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.06 ft/sec now. Brian Serven has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .201 mark is a good deal lower than his .218 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.