The Milwaukee Brewers have cooked at home this year, winning 51 of 76 games in their own building.
Milwaukee has a scorching hot offense and a decisive pitching advantage, making them an easy buy in my Reds vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, Sept. 12.
Who will win Reds vs Brewers today: Milwaukee Brewers (65%)
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
The Milwaukee Brewers are a worthy target up to 66%.
They have crushed the Cincinnati Reds in back-to-back games, and we have the perfect storm for more of the same in the series finale.
Brady Singer has allowed at least three earned runs in nine consecutive starts and is now tasked with slowing down a Brewers offense that leads the majors in hard-hit rate vs. righties in September.
Good luck.
Kyle Harrison pitches amazingly well in Milwaukee (1.26 ERA, 1.87 xERA) and will get all the run support he could ask for.
COVERS INTEL: Brady Singer ranks in the first percentile in Pitching Run Value and is unlikely to provide much resistance against the league's No. 2 scoring offense.
Reds vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (53%)
I’m expecting the run parade to continue, making the Over an appealing buy up to 54%.
Singer owns a 6.08 ERA over nine starts against teams ranking Top-10 in OBP and OPS vs. righties, and the Brewers sit first or second in both.
Singer faced the Brewers a week ago and was crushed for six runs over just five innings.
Harrison has quietly allowed a 13.8% barrel rate over the last 30 days. He’s giving up a lot of powerful contact, and the one thing the Reds do well is hit for power.
Reds vs Brewers home run prediction: Jake Bauers (20%)
Jake Bauers left the park twice Friday night and is a prime candidate to do so again.
He has hit .364 with a 23.5% barrel rate and .545 ISO against Singer’s oft-used sinker-slider combination over the last 25 games. Nobody on the Brewers roster has come close to approaching those outputs.
Singer has also gotten crushed by lefties this year, allowing a .202 ISO and 1.99 home runs per nine innings.
- ML/RL bets: 108-95, -9.55 units
- Over/Under bets: 104-93-6, -1.84 units
Reds vs Brewers weather
This game will be played indoors.
Reds vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Reds 38% | Brewers 63%
- Run line: Reds +1.5 (57%) | Brewers -1.5 (46%)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (52%) | Under 8.5 (49%)
Reds vs Brewers trend
Milwaukee has hit the moneyline in 35 of their last 50 home games (+11.40 units, 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Brewers.
How to watch Reds vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Saturday, September 12, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Reds.TV, Brewers.TV |
| Reds starting pitcher | Brady Singer (6-13, 5.03 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Kyle Harrison (10-4, 3.66 ERA) |
Reds vs Brewers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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