Rangers vs Senators Prediction, Picks & Combo for Tonight’s NHL Game

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 24, 2026 , 11:01 AM ET • 4 min read

See why our NHL expert is backing the Rangers to win as underdogs over the Senators behind the sticks of Adam Fox and Pavel Dorofeyev.

nhl

Match starts: 3 hrs
New York Rangers vs. Ottawa Senators
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Rangers D Adam Fox (#23, left) and Senators C Tim Stutzle (right).

The New York Rangers visit the Ottawa Senators on Saturday, Oct. 25. This marks the first meeting between these two Eastern Conference teams in 2026-27.

My Rangers vs. Senators predictions lean on a lopsided goaltending matchup in the absence of Linus Ullmark, with the Rangers' main trigger man looking to break out of what has been a slow start.

Read on for my NHL picks for this Saturday night matchup at Canadian Tire Centre.

Rangers vs Senators prediction: Rangers moneyline

The New York Rangers should benefit from the absence of Linus Ullmark in net. Samuel Ersson is winless through five starts with a horrid 4.59 GAA and an .835 SV%.

Meanwhile, Dylan Garand has been absolutely stellar filling in for the injured Igor Shesterkin. He's allowed two or fewer goals in eight of his last 10 starts, sporting a 2.30 GAA and .915 SV% through his eight starts this season.

The Ottawa Senators are coming off an ugly 6-2 loss to the San Jose Sharks and have the clear disadvantage in goal. There's a ton of value in the Rangers as underdogs.

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Rangers vs Senators combo

The Rangers have a massive advantage in goal and an opportunity to expose a struggling netminder on the other side of the ice. Ullmark has been the best Sens' player this season, and they'll be without him tonight.

Adam Fox leads all NHL defensemen and is second in the NHL with 14 assists, hitting the Over in eight of his last 10 and fresh off a four-assist performance.

Pavel Dorofeyev has taken a whopping 31 shot attempts over his last four games and 64 over his last 10. He has 37 shots on goal in his first season with the Blueshirts.

Rangers vs Senators combo

  • NYR Moneyline
  • Adam Fox 1+ assists
  • Pavel Dorofeyev 3+ shots

 TOP PICK
Rangers vs Senators player prop: Adam Fox 1+ assists

Fox has racked up five assists in his last two games, including a four-helper performance on Thursday.

He's notched an apple in eight of his last 10, and only Evan Bouchard has recorded helpers at a higher rate than Fox's 70.6% (24/34) since March 1.

The 28-year-old is second among all defensemen in scoring this season, and his 14 helpers through 12 games lead all blueliners.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Fox has 34 assists in his last 34 games, ranking second among all NHL defensemen in hit rate during that span. His 14 assists in 2026-27 lead all defenders and trail only Connor McDavid.

Rangers vs Senators goal scorer: Pavel Dorofeyev

No one in this matchup has scored more than Dorofeyev over the last two seasons.

His 74 goals since the start of 2024-25 are tied for sixth among RWs. Although he's scored just twice in his first 12 games as a Ranger, his shot volume certainly hasn't faltered. His 3.08 shots per game in 2026-27 nearly matches his career-best 3.10 mark two seasons ago.

His 34 power-play goals over the last two seasons trail only Wyatt Johnston and Leon Draisaitl, and he faces an Ottawa team taking the third-most penalties in the league and sporting the 19th-ranked penalty kill.

Luc LeBlanc's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 10-9, +3.94 units
  • Combos: 1-7, +0.52 units
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Rangers vs Senators odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Moneyline: Rangers 47% | Senators 54%
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (46%) | Under 6.5 (55%)
  • Spread: Rangers +1.5 (69%) | Senators -1.5 (32%)

For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!

Rangers vs Senators trend

The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Ottawa. Find more NHL betting trends.

How to watch Rangers vs Senators

Location Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Date Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026
Puck drop 7 p.m. ET
TV SNE, MSG

Rangers vs Senators latest injuries

Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc LeBlanc has worked in sports media for nearly half a decade, blending his analytical approach, knack for pattern recognition, and a unique, transparent writing style to present readers with the best and most accurate information.

Safe and responsible sports betting never comes from blindly following picks or projections, but rather from better informing oneself through digesting trusted, transparent, and reliable information.

He holds a Geography degree (BSc) from Saint Mary's University. His love for maps and his science-oriented thought processes have seamlessly translated to how he approaches his work today.

Whether it's the NHL, ATP/WTA Tours, MLB, or NFL, he can always be trusted to deliver valuable information in an accessible manner and will never push a narrative without good reason.

Prior to joining Covers, his work could be found across numerous publications, such as The Hockey Writers, FanSided, and Oddspedia. 

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