Ducks vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's NHL Playoffs Game 5

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 11, 2026 , 04:37 PM ET • 3 min read

Leo Carlsson has not been getting rewarded for his great play of late, but our NHL betting picks expect that to change on Tuesday night.

NHL

Match starts: 28 hrs
ANA
45 %
VEG
55 %
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Leo Carlsson Anaheim Ducks NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Leo Carlsson of the Anaheim Ducks celebrates a goal.

Leo Carlsson has been a model of consistency for the Anaheim Ducks, only going two or more straight games without a point on two occasions since early January.

After a quiet showing in Game 4, my Ducks vs. Golden Knights predictions expect the young star to get back on the score sheet Tuesday night.

Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks for May 12.

Ducks vs Golden Knights Game 5 prediction

Ducks vs Golden Knights best bet: Leo Carlsson Over 0.5 points (-170)

The Anaheim Ducks have created plenty of opportunities with Leo Carlsson on the ice, generating 94 shot attempts, 50 scoring chances, and 4.45 expected goals. That has translated to two goals.

Carlsson is a career 14.7% shooter — and plays with great players at 5-on-5 and on the power play — so there’s no reason to expect these looks to continue being wasted.

That’s especially true facing Carter Hart, who posted an .891 SV% and allowed 4.2 more goals than expected during the regular season.

Look for Carlsson, who has been held pointless in consecutive games just twice over the last four months, to get back on the scoresheet.

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Ducks vs Golden Knights Game 5 same-game parlay

Troy Terry flies under the radar because of all Anaheim’s terrific young players, but he quietly sits tied for the team lead in points during the playoffs. He leads their forwards in assists, but also trails only Carlsson and Cutter Gauthier in shots.

He’s a dual threat weapon, and one strongly correlated to Carlsson.

Shea Theodore has blocked multiple shots in eight of 10 playoff games during this run, and has averaged 2.9 along the way. The Ducks play at a fast pace and generate a lot of volume, which helps increase his floor and ceiling.

Ducks vs Golden Knights SGP

  • Leo Carlsson Over 0.5 points
  • Troy Terry Over 0.5 points
  • Shea Theodore Over 1.5 blocked shots

Ducks vs Golden Knights odds for Game 5

  • Moneyline: Ducks +130 | Golden Knights -150
  • Puck Line: Ducks +1.5 | Golden Knights -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Ducks vs Golden Knights trend

Leo Carlsson has six points over his last six games against Vegas. Find more NHL betting trends for Ducks vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Ducks vs Golden Knights Game 5

Location T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, NV
Date Tuesday, May 12, 2026
Puck drop 9:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN, SN360

Ducks vs Golden Knights latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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