Lane Hutson has been a shooting machine with Nick Suzuki in the lineup, clearing his line in 12 of 13 games.
My NHL predictions see another productive shooting performance in the cards against a Colorado Avalanche team missing its two best players.
Let's dig deeper into three NHL picks for Saturday, Nov. 14.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
| 52% | |
| 58% | |
| 49% |
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Pick #1: Lane Hutson Over 1.5 shots
Play to 60%.
Lane Hutson really struggled to generate shots without Nick Suzuki in the lineup, averaging 0.8 per game on 2.8 attempts while going Under in all six contests.
It has been a completely different story with Suzuki healthy and playing. Hutson has averaged 2.6 shots on 6.1 attempts and generated multiple shots on target in 12 of 13, only falling short on opening night in Toronto.
Hutson often plays behind Montreal’s top line at 5-on-5, and correlates on the power play, so it makes sense that Suzuki’s ability to tilt the ice and win draws back to the point has resulted in a massive uptick in production.
- Matchup: Colorado Avalanche vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Bell Centre, Montreal
- TV: SN+, ESPN+
Pick #2: Adrian Kempe Over 2.5 shots
Playable to 60%.
Adrian Kempe leads the Los Angeles Kings in 5-on-5 shots on goal this season, and the matchup doesn’t get a whole lot better.
The Calgary Flames rank 27th in 5-on-5 shot suppression and have played at the league’s second-highest pace. They should help create a perfect shooting environment for Kempe to let it fly.
Kempe has cleared 2.5 shots in five of seven games against Bottom-10 shot suppression teams, including four of the past five.
- Matchup: Calgary Flames vs. Los Angeles Kings
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
- TV: SN, ESPN+
Pick #3: Troy Terry Over 0.5 points
Troy Terry is a point target to 55%.
He played about 12 minutes in his season debut but the training wheels are coming off fast. He has already been promoted back to the top-6 and will skate alongside star center Leo Carlsson.
Terry had a field day alongside Carlsson last year, averaging 3.15 points per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play. That is an elite rate.
The New York Islanders are a solid defensive team but that hasn’t mattered against high-end offenses. They have conceded 3.6 goals per game over five matchups with Top-10 scoring offenses, and allowed five in three of the past four.
Anaheim averages 3.74 goals per game (fifth), and that’s with Terry only suiting up once.
- Matchup: New York Islanders vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim
- TV: SN+, ESPN+
- Top picks: 26-33, -12.30 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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