David Pastrnak is one of the best shot-generators in the NHL. He’s performed most efficiently at home soil following a day off, which is the situation he finds himself in this afternoon.
My Capitals vs. Bruins predictions expect Pastrnak to pile up the shots in an advantageous matchup against Washington.
Let’s break down my NHL picks for Saturday, March 7.
Capitals vs Bruins prediction
Capitals vs Bruins best bet: David Pastrnak Over 3.5 shots on goal (-105)
Death, taxes, and David Pastrnak at home after a day of rest. He has thrived under these circumstances, averaging 3.9 shots on 7.8 attempts over 14 games. Pastrnak went Over 3.5 shots in 10 of them (71%).
Eight of the 14 games were played against Bottom-16 shot suppression teams. The Boston Bruins star averaged 4.4 shots while clearing his 3.5 total in seven.
The Washington Capitals rank 17th in shot suppression and allow well over 29 shots per game on the road. Plenty of shooting opportunities should be coming Pastrnak’s way.
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Capitals vs Bruins same-game parlay
Pastrnak hasn’t scored in seven consecutive games, tying his longest drought over the last two seasons. He had three prior seven-game droughts and scored in the eighth game each time. That trend should continue against a Capitals squad that has averaged 3.8 goals allowed over their last 10 on the road.
Alex Ovechkin has played four games against Bottom-20 shot suppression teams without John Carlson in the lineup. He recorded 4+ shots in each, averaging a whopping 8.8 attempts per game. That’s well above his season average of 6.5.
Capitals vs Bruins SGP
- David Pastrnak Over 3.5 shots on goal
- David Pastrnak anytime goal
- Alex Ovechkin Over 3.5 shots on goal
Capitals vs Bruins odds
- Moneyline: Washington +105 | Boston -125
- Puck line: Washington +1.5 (-230) | Boston -1.5 (+190)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (+115)
Capitals vs Bruins trend
David Pastrnak has recorded 4+ shots in seven of his last 10 home games after one day of rest. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Bruins.
How to watch Capitals vs Bruins
| Location | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date | Saturday, March 7, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Capitals vs Bruins latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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