JuJu Smith-Schuster Super Bowl 57 Prop Odds and Prediction: Another Low Receiving Output

The Kansas City Chiefs will be looking to utilize their nearly unstoppable passing game tonight when they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII. 

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has a lot of weapons to choose from in the aerial attack. Yet while Kansas City has spread the ball around for much of the year, one man has been overlooked by Super Bowl odds: wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster.

Keep reading to see how that dynamic impacts my favorite Super Bowl player props for Smith-Schuster. Also, be sure to read our extensive Super Bowl picks and coverage before you place your bets on the big game!

JuJu Smith-Schuster Super Bowl 57 prop pick and same-game parlay

• Under 37.5 receiving yards
• Under 37.5 receiving yards + Under 3.5 receptions + Travis Kelce Over 7.5 receptions)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

JuJu Smith-Schuster Super Bowl 57 best bet

JuJu Smith-Schuster’s first year with the Kansas City Chiefs has been something of a mixed bag. While he has grabbed 78 receptions for 933 yards, he only found the end zone three times all year. That’s largely a product of Patrick Mahomes feeling more comfortable with tight end Travis Kelce and running back Jerick McKinnon as reliable options in the red zone. 

Those numbers paint a picture of a productive, solid season for Smith-Schuster. However, that productivity has gone off a cliff over the past two months. Ever since catching 10 passes for 88 yards against the Houston Texans on December 18, Smith-Schuster has failed to have anything resembling a big game.

In three regular season contests and two postseason games since then, Smith-Schuster has caught 10 passes for 119 yards and no scores. That’s not a single game total: those are his combined stats over that stretch. At no point in that span has he caught more than five balls or had more than 35 yards receiving.

The situation may be even worse in the Super Bowl for Smith-Schuster. First, the wide receiver is still recovering from knee swelling that he suffered in the AFC Championship Game against the Cincinnati Bengals. While Smith-Schuster looks like he will likely play, there are legitimate questions over whether the swelling will impact his effectiveness on Sunday.

Secondly, the Chiefs are going up against the best passing defense in the NFL. The Philadelphia Eagles hold opponents to just 5.4 yards per pass attempt and 179.8 yards passing per game. Kansas City will likely be able to get over this mark, as they have the best passing attack in the league. But we should still expect the overall numbers for the Chiefs to fall below their season averages.

That means yards and catches will be somewhat limited for the Kansas City receivers, especially considering how many targets Mahomes likes to move the ball around to during the game. Outside of Kelce, there’s no telling who the second and third options will be on any given night.

That said, Mahomes will need to find targets who can get open against the stingy Eagles secondary. Based on what we’ve seen lately, that’s unlikely to be Smith-Schuster during the Super Bowl, especially if his knee causes him any trouble whatsoever. 

Sportsbooks still have Smith-Schuster’s reception total at 3.5, a number that reflects his higher usage earlier in the season. Given what we’ve seen, the matchup, and the potential injury issues, the Under is my play here tonight.

Prop: Smith-Schuster Under 3.5 receptions (-111)

JuJu Smith-Schuster Super Bowl 57 SGP

Under 3.5 reception

Under 37.5 receiving yards

Kelce Over 7.5 receptions

+320 at FanDuel

I’m clearly down on Smith-Schuster for the Super Bowl. That makes it easy to target him for a same-game parlay that looks for him to come up short on his targeted prop numbers across the board.

We’ll start by using the same Under 3.5 on his reception total. I’m then happy to add in his yardage total as well, which most sites are setting at 37.5 yards. Smith-Schuster hasn’t hit that number in five weeks, and only has 36 yards combined in his first two playoff games. The Under is an excellent addition to our parlay.

The tricky part is picking a third leg for a Smith-Schuster SGP. We’re obviously not going to bet on him to find the endzone, which doesn’t leave us with anything we can directly use to round out this bet. 

However, we can look at who stands to benefit from a poor performance from Smith-Schuster. It’s easy to see where Mahomes is likely to go with the ball on Sunday, as Kelce has been his go-to target all season long, and even more so in these big games. I’m adding Kelce Over 7.5 receptions to finish off our SGP.

With Smith-Schuster’s diminished production as of late, this should make a solid parlay for Super Bowl Sunday. I expect Smith-Schuster to suit up, but if his knee is still bothering him, these props — which he has had trouble hitting the Over on lately even when healthy — will look like an even better value.

Same-game parlay: Under 3.5 receptions + Under 37.5 receiving yards + Kelce Over 7.5 receptions (+320 at FanDuel)

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