EverBank Stadium has been a house of horrors for the Indianapolis Colts, and the Jacksonville Jaguars will look to keep that trend going when these two divisional rivals square off on Sunday afternoon.
Find out more as this pivotal AFC South showdown ranks among my favorite NFL picks for the Week 14 slate.
Week 14 NFL moneyline picks
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Cowboys vs  Lions |
+130 |
 Steelers vs  Ravens |
-295 |
 Seahawks vs  Falcons |
-405 |
 Titans vs  Browns |
-210 |
 Dolphins vs  Jets |
+128 |
 Saints vs  Buccaneers |
-500 |
 Colts vs  Jaguars |
+108 |
 Commanders vs  Vikings |
-126 |
 Bengals vs  Bills |
-275 |
 Broncos vs  Raiders |
-450 |
 Bears vs  Packers |
-330 |
 Rams vs  Cardinals |
-450 |
 Texans vs  Chiefs |
-180 |
 Eagles vs  Chargers |
-154 |
Lines courtesy of FanDuel as of 12-3.
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Expert Week 14 NFL moneyline picks
Cowboys vs. Lions: Cowboys (+130)
Chat, is Dallas good?!
The Cowboys have re-emerged from the dead by rattling off three straight wins, two of which came against last year’s AFC and NFC champs.
While the vibes are good on both sides of the ball for Big D, the Lions’ window is closing fast. A myriad of injuries has affected Detroit’s pass defense, and the offensive line is feeling the loss of former center Frank Ragnow.
Dallas prevails inside Ford Field.
Steelers vs. Ravens: Ravens (-295)
Baltimore laid an egg against Cincinnati on Thanksgiving, but an extra three days to prepare for this fierce rivalry looms large.
Aaron Rodgers is back to throwing teammates under the bus in post-game pressers, and there’s little reason to have any confidence in Mike Tomlin’s team on either side of the ball.
Seahawks vs. Falcons: Seahawks (-405)
Seattle boasts a league-leading +11.1 scoring margin this season, and if this were Madden, Atlanta would be conceding defeat — or rage quitting — by halftime.
Things are about to get messy at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Titans vs. Browns: Browns (-210)
It’ll be another cold one in Cleveland with wind gusts blowing off Lake Erie, and that will be an overwhelming environment that Cam Ward has yet to experience.
As bad as Cleveland is offensively, Myles Garrett and the Browns’ defense will feast against a rookie quarterback operating with little around him.
Dolphins vs. Jets: Jets (+128)
Cold-weather games continue to give Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins trouble, while New York quietly features the best special-teams unit in football.
I'm taking New York to make it three straight wins at JetLife Stadium.
Saints vs. Buccaneers: Buccaneers (-500)
Every so often, Todd Bowles' blitz-heavy packages backfire on Tampa, but that won’t be the case against Tyler Shough and a weak Saints front.
Tampa Bay remains atop the NFC South as heavy favorites in this divisional showdown.
Colts vs. Jaguars: Jaguars (+108)
The last time the Colts won in Jacksonville? 2014.
With star CB Sauce Gardner and DT DeForest Buckner both sidelined for Indy’s defense, that streak should continue in Duval County.
Daniel Jones is currently playing on one leg, and things are starting to seriously unravel for the Shoe.
Commanders vs. Vikings: Vikings (-126)
It looks like J.J. McCarthy should be good to go for this one, and even he is a step up over Max Brosmer.
Meanwhile, it’s still up in the air whether it’ll be Jayden Daniels or Marcus Mariota under center for Washington, so I’ll side with the home team and a defense that’s playing lights-out despite Minnesota’s lost season.
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Bengals vs. Bills: Bills (-275)
While Cincy took advantage of a fairly immobile Lamar Jackson on Turkey Day, Josh Allen is still taking off with his legs, and he’ll put up video-game numbers against this Bengals defense.
Buffalo will improve to 6–1 at home; beating this team at Highmark Stadium is an entirely different animal.
Broncos vs. Raiders: Broncos (-450)
Denver continues to play teams way too close for comfort, but a 10th straight win is in the cards when the Broncos and their well-traveled fanbase invade Allegiant Stadium.
Geno Smith doesn’t stand a chance against this Broncos defense.
Bears vs. Packers: Packers (-330)
Green Bay is undefeated in divisional games this season, and that’ll stay intact thanks to Jordan Love playing his best stretch of football this year. According to PFF, Love boasts the best passing grade in the NFL over the last three weeks.
While Ben Johnson’s Bears have been a great story, the shirtless celebration on Black Friday may have been a little premature.
Rams vs. Cardinals: Rams (-450)
Matthew Stafford looked human for once in LA’s loss to Carolina, but it’s hard to imagine that carrying over in the desert against the 3-9 Cardinals.
LA is still chasing the No. 1 seed in the NFC, while Arizona is already looking ahead to next year (again).
Texans vs. Chiefs: Chiefs (-180)
Houston's defense continues to keep the Texans in the playoff hunt, but the offense ranks 31st in red-zone TD percentage, trailing only NOLA.
Steve Spagnuolo will dial up the pressure against C.J. Stroud, and Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs won’t need to be firing on all cylinders to secure a win at Arrowhead.
Eagles vs. Chargers: Eagles (-154)
Eagles Twitter is back to questioning Nick Sirianni as a head coach and Jalen Hurts as a franchise quarterback, but we’ve seen this story before.
They’ll get back on track at SoFi, as an injury-riddled Chargers team has survived thanks to several cupcake matchups over the past month. Justin Herbert continues to get obliterated behind a depleted O-line, and L.A. is lucky it was his non-throwing hand that was fractured last week.
My NFL moneyline record is 124-70 this season for +5.15 units.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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