The Los Angeles Rams have been stewing over a bad Week 1, not only traveling all the way to Australia for a loss but also suffering injuries to star players.
Los Angeles is back home in SoFi Stadium, welcoming the New York Giants on Monday Night Football in Week 2.
My Giants vs. Rams prop picks measure the matchups on MNF and give you my NFL picks for this coast-to-coast prime-time pairing.
Make sure to also check out our complete Giants vs. Rams predictions for Sept. 21
Best Giants vs Rams props
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| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
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54% |
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46% |
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28% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Matthew Stafford – Yes 225+ passing yards
Matthew Stafford couldn’t get going in the Los Angeles Rams' Week 1 trip to Australia but gets to come home to face a softer New York Giants secondary in Week 2.
New York may have limited Dak Prescott and the Dallas passing attack to 175 yards, but that had more to do with the Giants’ offense hogging the ball and eating up all the TOP.
Advanced metrics tell a different tale, with New York 28th in EPA allowed per dropback in Week 1. New York’s secondary is already missing bodies, and starting CB Deonte Banks is questionable after not practicing Friday.
I don’t see the G-Men having the same success dominating possession, and even with Puka Nacua on the fence, Stafford’s projections are all north of 225 yards passing in Week 2. Most models call for 240+ passing yards, with my number at 245.
Prop pick #2: Blake Corum – Yes 50+ rushing yards
Blake Corum was one of the few highlights for the Rams in Week 1, rushing 10 times for 54 yards.
Corum got just 23% of snaps vs. San Francisco, but there’s a good chance that ticks up in Week 2.
Both head coach Sean McVay and offensive coordinator Nate Scheelhaase praised Corum’s efforts heading into Monday Night Football. That trust from the playcallers and a run-positive game script work in Corum’s favor Monday.
His forecasts range from 46 to 67 rushing yards, with my projection at 57+ yards from the Rams RB2. New York’s run defense wasn’t tested much vs. the Cowboys, who were forced to go pass-heavy while playing from behind (just 34.6% run rate).
Prop pick #3: Jaxson Dart – Yes 1+ touchdown
Giants QB Jaxson Dart does damage with his legs and is always a threat to call his own number inside the red zone.
He had 11 carries in Week 1, but only one attempt was inside the Cowboys’ 20-yard line. Last season, he rushed for nine touchdowns over 14 games, with seven of those scores coming on 21 RZ carries for the dual-threat QB.
Despite its Week 1 result, Los Angeles is among the NFL's better red-zone defenses over the past few seasons. The Rams could shut down Dart’s first and second options, forcing him to scramble for the end zone.
Week 2 projections give Dart between a 30% and 36% chance of cracking the goal line on Monday Night Football.
- Prop picks: 8-4, +4.22 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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