Giants vs Rams Prop Picks: Monday Night Football

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 21, 2026 , 07:00 AM ET • 4 min read

The Giants come to La-La Land for a Monday meeting with the Rams. Jason Logan measures the matchups and gives his best NFL prop picks for MNF in Week 2.

Los Angeles Rams running back Blake Corum NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Rams running back Blake Corum.

The Los Angeles Rams have been stewing over a bad Week 1, not only traveling all the way to Australia for a loss but also suffering injuries to star players.

Los Angeles is back home in SoFi Stadium, welcoming the New York Giants on Monday Night Football in Week 2.
 
My Giants vs. Rams prop picks measure the matchups on MNF and give you my NFL picks for this coast-to-coast prime-time pairing.

Make sure to also check out our complete Giants vs. Rams predictions for Sept. 21

Best Giants vs Rams props

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
 Rams Matthew Stafford – Yes 225+ passing yards 54%
 Rams Blake Corum – Yes 50+ rushing yards 46%
 Giants Jaxson Dart – Yes 1+ touchdown 28%

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Prop pick #1: Matthew Stafford – Yes 225+ passing yards

Kalshi probability: 54%

Matthew Stafford couldn’t get going in the Los Angeles Rams' Week 1 trip to Australia but gets to come home to face a softer New York Giants secondary in Week 2. 

New York may have limited Dak Prescott and the Dallas passing attack to 175 yards, but that had more to do with the Giants’ offense hogging the ball and eating up all the TOP. 

Advanced metrics tell a different tale, with New York 28th in EPA allowed per dropback in Week 1. New York’s secondary is already missing bodies, and starting CB Deonte Banks is questionable after not practicing Friday.

I don’t see the G-Men having the same success dominating possession, and even with Puka Nacua on the fence, Stafford’s projections are all north of 225 yards passing in Week 2. Most models call for 240+ passing yards, with my number at 245.

Prop pick #2: Blake Corum – Yes 50+ rushing yards

Kalshi probability: 46%

Blake Corum was one of the few highlights for the Rams in Week 1, rushing 10 times for 54 yards. 

Corum got just 23% of snaps vs. San Francisco, but there’s a good chance that ticks up in Week 2.

Both head coach Sean McVay and offensive coordinator Nate Scheelhaase praised Corum’s efforts heading into Monday Night Football. That trust from the playcallers and a run-positive game script work in Corum’s favor Monday.

His forecasts range from 46 to 67 rushing yards, with my projection at 57+ yards from the Rams RB2. New York’s run defense wasn’t tested much vs. the Cowboys, who were forced to go pass-heavy while playing from behind (just 34.6% run rate).

Prop pick #3: Jaxson Dart – Yes 1+ touchdown

Kalshi probability: 28%

Giants QB Jaxson Dart does damage with his legs and is always a threat to call his own number inside the red zone.

He had 11 carries in Week 1, but only one attempt was inside the Cowboys’ 20-yard line. Last season, he rushed for nine touchdowns over 14 games, with seven of those scores coming on 21 RZ carries for the dual-threat QB.

Despite its Week 1 result, Los Angeles is among the NFL's better red-zone defenses over the past few seasons. The Rams could shut down Dart’s first and second options, forcing him to scramble for the end zone.

Week 2 projections give Dart between a 30% and 36% chance of cracking the goal line on Monday Night Football.

Jason Logan's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 8-4, +4.22 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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