It's the end of Week 2, and the New York Giants might be live tonight with all the travel and injuries befalling the Los Angeles Rams ahead of Monday Night Football.
There is plenty of value in my Giants vs. Rams touchdown picks, as oddsmakers aren't in love with the G-Men, and the Rams might need a new offensive leader if Puka Nacua is out (and Blake Corum might fit that bill).
In addition to my favorite TD predictions for Monday, Sept. 21, I have a full set of Giants vs. Rams predictions waiting.
Best Giants vs Rams anytime touchdown picks
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Giants touchdown pick: Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely was the cash converter last week and was a huge part of the New York Giants' offense, keeping pace with Malik Nabers in terms of usage and volume.
Despite that, his TD price has not moved, which I don't mind at all. I understand it's the Los Angeles Rams, but they are just getting back from Australia and looked awful defending the pass in Week 1.
Likely had four targets in the red zone and finished with two TDs. No other TE or WR had more than three RZ catches in Week 1. Likely is the No. 2 in this passing game and is a green light for a TD buy at 3x or better right now.
Rams touchdown pick: Blake Corum
The Rams had one of the worst PROEs in Week 1 despite playing from a trailing game script. Now, potentially without Puka Nacua, expect more heavy sets and running.
Blake Corum played just 13 offensive snaps, but he also had 10 carries for 54 yards and outpaced Kyren Williams, who is still shorter than 50% for a TD. These two should be closer than they currently are, and despite Williams getting the red-zone work last week, Corum has poached plenty of TDs inside the 20.
This is a New York red-zone defense that allowed Dallas to score three times on three attempts last week.
First touchdown scorer pick: Jaxson Dart
Give me Jaxson Dart at better than 10x under the Monday night lights. He was one of two QBs with double-digit carries last week, with a great mix of designed runs and scrambles. He's not going to change how he runs, and now that he has Nabers and even Likely, there's more respect for the pass-catchers, which gives him less attention in the red zone.
The Rams gave up two TDs on three red-zone attempts last week, while the Giants couldn't have been more impressive inside the 20, going 4-for-4. I love Dart's Over rushing yards, and this might be the best 10x-or-better first TD option tonight.
Giants vs Rams touchdown combo
I'm not changing my MNF approach in the TD combo spot, and that's getting both QBs to score. It's my weekly lottery.
Last week, Matthew Stafford had his chance to cash a monster but failed to score on a fourth-and-goal from the 1-yard line. At least I know the play is in the playbook.
My love for Dart is not hidden. He'll get his carries, and getting someone like him in the double-QB MNF TD combo is something that makes me happy.
- TD picks: 5-9, +7.5 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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