Two playoff teams from last year are trying to salvage their seasons in Week 14 as the 3-9 Washington Commanders travel to U.S. Bank Stadium to face the 4-8 Minnesota Vikings today.
My Commanders vs. Vikings predictions tell you how Jayden Daniels will use his legs to get the better of J.J. McCarthy and Minnesota, the 1.5-point underdog in the latest NFL odds.
See more in my NFL picks for Sunday, December 7, and tune in to FOX for this 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff.
Commanders vs Vikings prediction
Commanders vs Vikings Best bet: Jayden Daniels Over 38.5 rushing yards (-114)
It has been a tumultuous second year for Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels, who has been in and out of the lineup with multiple injuries.
He missed two games early in the year due to a knee sprain, one game in the middle of the season due to a hamstring injury, and three games recently with a dislocated elbow.
However, Daniels is ready to return, and with a 3-9 record, there is no way he is returning unless he is at no risk of further injury or limited by the previous injuries. That is why I feel comfortable taking him here on his rushing prop in a great matchup.
The Minnesota Vikings have an excellent defense and get a ton of pressure on the quarterback. But for that same reason, they also are bad at defending quarterback scrambles, and Daniels is one of the best in the league at scrambling when needed.
The Vikings have the second-best pressure rate in the NFL but rank 25th in the league in defending quarterback scrambles. Only the Green Bay Packers in Week 2 were able to hold Daniels to less than 35 yards rushing.
He is averaging 43.7 yards per game on the ground, and we are getting a low number here just because he is returning from injury.
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Commanders vs Vikings same-game parlay
To add to my best bet, I am going to add Chris Rodriguez Jr. to find the end zone, since the Vikings rank 17th in defending rushing in the red zone and have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns this season.
Finally, I am taking Daniels to stay Under his passing total as he has struggled to hit passes against the blitz this season.
Commanders vs Vikings 3-leg SGP
- Jayden Daniels Over 38.5 rushing yards
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. anytime touchdown
- Jayden Daniels Under 216.5 passing yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Points at a premium
Neither team’s offense has been hitting on all cylinders recently, and this game screams Under despite both starting quarterbacks returning to the lineup.
Commanders vs Vikings 4-leg SGP
- Jayden Daniels Over 38.5 rushing yards
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. anytime touchdown
- Jayden Daniels Under 216.5 passing yards
- Under 43.5
Commanders vs Vikings game predictions
Commanders vs Vikings moneyline prediction
I give the Vikings the slight edge here at home, as they have at least beaten most of the bad teams on their schedule, whereas the Commanders have just completely collapsed with seven straight losses.
Commanders vs Vikings spread prediction
Most of the sharp money has come in on the Vikings, and the Commanders have only covered the Spread in eight of their last 22 games.
Commanders vs Vikings Over/Under prediction
Most of the sharp money has come in on the Under here, despite the announcement that Daniels will play, moving this from 41.5 to 43.5.
Commanders vs Vikings odds
- Spread: Commanders -1.5 (-106) | Vikings +1.5 (-114)
- Moneyline: Commanders -116 | Vikings -102
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 (-115) | Under 43.5 (-105)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Commanders vs Vikings trend to know
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H team total Under in 14 of their last 20 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Commanders vs. Vikings.
How to watch Commanders vs Vikings
| Location | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Sunday, December 7, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Commanders vs Vikings latest injuries
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