Chargers vs Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for NFL Week 15

Rashee Rice will be one of the few offensive players to shine on a chilly day at Arrowhead Stadium, per our NFL betting picks.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Dec 12, 2025 • 10:07 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 49 hrs
KC
39 %
LAC
61 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u41.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Rashee Rice
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice.

The Kansas City Chiefs are in full-on desperation mode as they host the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15.

Kansas City must win out to keep its playoff hopes alive at 6-7, while Los Angeles is a 5.5-point underdog despite having the better record (9-4).

See why I’m betting on a lower-scoring game with my Chargers vs. Chiefs predictions and NFL picks for Sunday, December 14.

Chargers vs Chiefs prediction

Chargers vs Chiefs Best bet: Under 41.5 (-110)

Both squads are dealing with injury concerns, and that could lead to a lower-scoring game in Week 15. 

The Kansas City Chiefs' offensive line is in shambles, with right tackle Jawaan Taylor and Wanya Morris both considered long shots to play, and right guard Trey Smith downgraded to a limited participant on Thursday.

The offense mustered just 274 total yards last week against Houston due to the litany of offensive line injuries, and the situation isn’t much better now.

The Los Angeles Chargers have concerns in the passing game as quarterback Justin Herbert plays through a broken hand, and star wideout Ladd McConkey is limited in practice with a foot injury.

It’s not a coincidence that the offense had only 275 total yards against the Eagles in Week 14, and a hobbled Herbert will be hard-pressed to have a successful day against Kansas City’s stout defense. 

It’ll be a cold day at Arrowhead with temperatures ranging from 14-20 degrees throughout the contest. The Chiefs have been an Under team all year at 4-9 O/U, and will now feature in a game where both offenses have injury concerns and will be playing in frigid weather. 

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Chargers vs Chiefs same-game parlay

The Chargers have been miserable on the road (1-4 ATS), getting trounced by the Jaguars (6-35) and losing to the Giants while notching wins over unimpressive opponents only (Raiders, Dolphins, Titans).

Put another way, they’ve yet to beat a team of any worth on the road this season, and now face a desperate Chiefs team in a game where Herbet is playing with a broken hand. 

Rashee Rice has racked up at least 80 receiving yards in four of his last six games while averaging 79.7 in that span, so his receiving yardage prop of 63.5 is too low. 

Chargers vs Chiefs 3-leg SGP

  • Under 41.5
  • Chiefs -5.5
  • Rashee Rice Over 63.5 receiving yards

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Our big-ticket SGP: Rice, Rice, baby

It’s been a while since we’ve seen the typical fourth-quarter voodoo that Patrick Mahomes works in comeback victories. What better time for Mahomes to win a second half than at home with his team’s playoff hopes on the line?

Chargers vs Chiefs 5-leg SGP

  • Under 41.5
  • Chiefs -5.5
  • Rashee Rice Over 63.5 receiving yards
  • Rashee Rice Over 6.5 receptions
  • Chiefs -2.5 2H

Chargers vs Chiefs odds

  • Spread: Chargers +5.5 | Chiefs -5.5
  • Moneyline: Chargers +215 | Chiefs -260
  • Over/Under: Over 41.5 | Under 41.5

Missouri Bankroll Giveaway


More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Chargers vs Chiefs trend to know

The Chiefs have gone Under the total in seven of their last eight games. Find more NFL betting trends for Chargers vs. Chiefs.

How to watch Chargers vs Chiefs

Location GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Date Sunday, December 14, 2025
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Chargers vs Chiefs latest injuries

Chargers vs Chiefs weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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