Bengals vs Steelers Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for NFL Week 11

Jones' prediction: Offense wins out in Pittsburgh.

Jeremy Jones - Contributor at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Nov 14, 2025 • 23:07 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 35 hrs
PIT
53 %
CIN
47 %
Read Analysis
Bengals Tee Higgins (5) celebrates a touchdown.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Bengals Tee Higgins (5) celebrates a touchdown.

A heated AFC North rivalry renews on Sunday afternoon when the 3-6 Cincinnati Bengals travel to Acrisure Stadium to take on the 5-4 Pittsburgh Steelers. 

The Bengals took the first matchup this season with Joe Flacco at the helm, but the Bengals' defense has been dreadful.

Find out who I like in my Bengals vs. Steelers predictions and NFL picks for Sunday, November 16.

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Bengals vs Steelers prediction

Bengals vs Steelers Best bet: Over 49.5 (-104)

These two teams met back in Week 7 in Thursday Night Football in Cincinnati, and it was a barn burner 33-31 win for the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals had 470 total yards, and the Pittsburgh Steelers had 396. The Steelers had two interceptions that led to 10 Bengals points in the second quarter, which may have been the difference. 

The Bengals have allowed 30 or more points five times in regulation this season, which is the most in the NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed 30+ points four times, which is tied for second-most in the NFL this season. The Bengals have allowed 117 points combined in their last three games. 

The Bengals' defense has missed 109 tackles and allowed 778 yards after missed tackles, which are both the most in the NFL. 68.7% of the Steelers' passing yards have come after the catch this season, and they are the only team in the NFL above the 60% mark. 

However, as bad as the Bengals have been on defense, they have been fantastic on offense with Joe Flacco at quarterback. They have scored 113 points over the past three weeks. The Steelers' defense has improved recently, but this will still be a high-scoring game. 

Bengals vs Steelers same-game parlay

To add to my best bet, I am going to add both Tee Higgins and Jaylen Warren to hit their receiving totals.

Higgins destroys man defense, which the Steelers play a ton of, and Warren is second on the team in yards after catch, which is a major weakness of the Bengals' defense.

Bengals vs Steelers SGP

  • Over 49.5
  • Higgins Over 59.5 receiving yards
  • Warren Over 18.5 receiving yards

Our big-ticket SGP: The stars ball out

Pat Freiermuth had two touchdowns in the last matchup with the Bengals, and Cincy has struggled to defend tight ends. 

Bengals vs Steelers SGP

  • Over 49.5
  • Higgins Over 59.5 receiving yards
  • Warren Over 18.5 receiving yards
  • Freiermuth anytime TD

Bengals vs Steelers odds

  • Spread: Bengals +5.5 | Steelers -5.5
  • Moneyline: Bengals +207 | Steelers -241
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5| Under 49.5

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Bengals vs Steelers trend to know

The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Bengals vs. Steelers.

How to watch Bengals vs Steelers

Location Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Sunday, November 16, 2025
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Bengals vs Steelers latest injuries

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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