Cincinnati has been a disaster defensively, giving up 36.7 points per game over its last seven contests — and that’s not a typo. Tight ends are averaging over 80 receiving yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game against this unit. Jonnu Smith led all Steelers tight ends in routes last week with a 71% route share. He only saw two targets, but the entire offense struggled to move the ball. Among the three Pittsburgh tight ends, Smith is priced in the middle for an anytime touchdown, but he’s the best bet to score in what should be a high-total game and one of the softest matchups on the slate.
The Pittsburgh offense looked lost in Week 10, with Aaron Rodgers passing for just 161 yards and two interceptions against the Bolts. After a steady start through the first six weeks, this Steelers offense has tumbled down the advanced metrics the past four outings. This passing attack is far from explosive. Pittsburgh has posted only 21 completions of 20-plus yards with Rodgers averaging a league-low 3.7 air yards per completion for qualified QBs. If the Steelers are going to stop the bleeding, it will need the defense to step up at home. Pittsburgh’s performance on Sunday night wasn’t horrible, checking the Chargers to 4.6 yards per play, 18 first downs and sacking Justin Herbert four times. The extended forecast for Acrisure Stadium sees rains on Sunday with wind gusts as high as 21 mph. That could keep scoring down and make a mess of the questionable grass surface in the Steel City as well.
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.0 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.0 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. Jaylen Warren's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 76th percentile for RBs.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Jaylen Warren's 95.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a significant gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 89.5% mark.. Jaylen Warren grades out in the 79th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.11 per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.0 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. Ja'Marr Chase's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 74.8% rate.. The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. With a lackluster 61.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the least on-target passers in the league.. The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. With a lackluster 61.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the least on-target passers in the league.. Joe Flacco checks in as one of the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 6.43 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 24th percentile.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.0 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a massive 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the worst in football.. This year, the porous Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a monstrous 9.49 yards.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 134.0 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 93.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.. In this week's game, DK Metcalf is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.4 targets.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. This year, the shaky Bengals pass defense has given up a colossal 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 10th-largest rate in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. Ja'Marr Chase's 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a significant decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 98.0 mark.. Ja'Marr Chase's 71.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 74.8% rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.0 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.. The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.