Bengals vs Steelers Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NFL Week 11 Game

Jones' prediction: Offense wins the day in Pittsburgh.

Jeremy Jones - Contributor at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Nov 16, 2025 • 10:00 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 41 mins
PIT
53 %
CIN
47 %
Read Analysis
Promo image for Bengals vs. Steelers, including Ja'Marr Chase and Aaron Rodgers.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Promo image for Bengals vs. Steelers, including Ja'Marr Chase and Aaron Rodgers.

A heated AFC North rivalry resumes this afternoon as the 3-6 Cincinnati Bengals head to Acrisure Stadium to face the 5-4 Pittsburgh Steelers.

Cincinnati won the first meeting of the season with Joe Flacco leading the way, but their struggling defense remains a major concern.

Find out who I like in my Bengals vs. Steelers predictions and NFL picks for today's game.

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Bengals vs Steelers prediction

Bengals vs Steelers Best bet: Over 49.5 (-104)

These two teams met back in Week 7 in Thursday Night Football in Cincinnati, and it was a barn burner 33-31 win for the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals had 470 total yards, and the Pittsburgh Steelers had 396. The Steelers had two interceptions that led to 10 Bengals points in the second quarter, which may have been the difference. 

The Bengals have allowed 30 or more points five times in regulation this season, which is the most in the NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed 30+ points four times, which is tied for second-most in the NFL this season. The Bengals have allowed 117 points combined in their last three games. 

The Bengals' defense has missed 109 tackles and allowed 778 yards after missed tackles, which are both the most in the NFL. 68.7% of the Steelers' passing yards have come after the catch this season, and they are the only team in the NFL above the 60% mark. 

However, as bad as the Bengals have been on defense, they have been fantastic on offense with Joe Flacco at quarterback. They have scored 113 points over the past three weeks. The Steelers' defense has improved recently, but this will still be a high-scoring game. 

Bengals vs Steelers same-game parlay

To add to my best bet, I am going to add both Tee Higgins and Jaylen Warren to hit their receiving totals.

Higgins destroys man defense, which the Steelers play a ton of, and Warren is second on the team in yards after catch, which is a major weakness of the Bengals' defense.

Bengals vs Steelers SGP

  • Over 49.5
  • Tee Higgins Over 59.5 receiving yards
  • Jaylen Warren Over 18.5 receiving yards

Our big-ticket SGP: The stars ball out

Pat Freiermuth had two touchdowns in the last matchup with the Bengals, and Cincy has struggled to defend tight ends. 

Bengals vs Steelers SGP

  • Over 49.5
  • Tee Higgins Over 59.5 receiving yards
  • Jaylen Warren Over 18.5 receiving yards
  • Pat Freiermuth anytime touchdown

Bengals vs Steelers game predictions

Bengals vs Steelers moneyline prediction

The Steelers' defense has improved since the last matchup, and they will outscore the Bengals to avenge their previous loss.  

Bengals vs Steelers spread prediction

Most of the sharp money has come in on the Bengals here, and this spread is just too high for what should be a game that comes down to the wire. 

Bengals vs Steelers Over/Under prediction

Most of the sharp money is on the Over here, with 67% of the money on the Over despite only 35% of the bets.

Bengals vs Steelers odds

  • Spread: Bengals +5.5 | Steelers -5.5
  • Moneyline: Bengals +207 | Steelers -241
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5 | Under 49.5

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Bengals vs Steelers trend to know

The Bengals have cashed the Over in 14 of their last 19 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Bengals vs. Steelers.

How to watch Bengals vs Steelers

Location Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Sunday, November 16, 2025
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Bengals vs Steelers latest injuries

Bengals vs Steelers weather

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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