The Pittsburgh Steelers lead the AFC North with a 6-2 record, and quarterback Aaron Rodgers is nearing the halfway point of his 22nd and final NFL season.
Whether Rodgers will remain with the Steelers through Dec. 1 has generated over $4.3 million in trading volume at Kalshi, and my top NFL picks for the Aaron Rodgers next team odds have the four-time MVP riding out his career in Steeltown.
- Pittsburgh has won four straight games and is leading the AFC North
- Aaron Rodgers plans to retire following the 2026 season
- There are no credible leaks that Rodgers will retire or be traded before Dec. 1
Aaron Rodgers next team odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds converter.
This market remains in its early stages, with relatively limited trading volume contributing to sharp swings in percentages. Some prices may look unusual compared to more mature markets. The following serves primarily as a look at an emerging market and the information it's signaling, rather than as trading advice at current prices.
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What is Aaron Rodgers' next move?
The Pittsburgh Steelers aren’t trading starting QB Aaron Rodgers, and he’s not going to retire in the middle of his NFL farewell tour while the Black and Gold are leading the AFC North.
Rodgers has confirmed he’ll retire following the 2026 NFL season, and Pittsburgh only has three games remaining before the Dec. 1 deadline of this Kalshi market.
Aaron Rodgers next team odds analysis
Retire / No Team | 'Yes' 5¢
Pittsburgh has won four straight games while pacing the NFL in EPA per rush and rushing DVOA, and the defense has allowed the fourth-lowest EPA per play while ranking third in DVOA.
This is an ideal situation for Rodgers because he isn’t being asked to sling it all over the yard, and the 42-year-old QB said the team is “right where we want to be” heading into their Week 9 bye.
Packers | 'Yes' 1¢
Rodgers is not returning to the Green Bay Packers.
Green Bay's front office didn't tell Rodgers ahead of time that it was planning to trade up to select quarterback Jordan Love in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft, and his relationship with the organization went downhill from there.
The tension led to a 2021 standoff between Rodgers and Green Bay general manager Brian Gutekunst, and as their relationship grew increasingly toxic, Rodgers and the Packers ultimately parted ways following the 2022 season.
Aaron Rodgers next team odds prediction
Steelers
There are no indications that Pittsburgh plans to trade Rodgers ahead of the NFL trade deadline on Tuesday, Nov. 10, at 4 p.m. ET.
Rodgers has led the Steelers to four consecutive wins and the top spot in the AFC North, making the prospect of him suddenly pulling the plug on his final NFL season about as unlikely as Pittsburgh becoming the favorite in the Super Bowl odds.
Strategic considerations for traders
- Analysis: The Steelers have won four straight to lead the AFC North
- Analysis: Rodgers has stated that this is his final NFL season
- Analysis: There are no credible indications Rodgers will be traded or retire before Dec. 1
How to trade Aaron Rodgers on Kalshi
Trading NFL futures on prediction markets like Kalshi is a different analytical experience than traditional sportsbooks.
- Account setup: Fund your Kalshi account via bank transfer or wire so you have capital ready for breaking news
- Navigate: Go to Sports → Pro Football and locate the “Aaron Rodgers' Next Team” market
- Execute: Buy “Yes” shares on a team or buy “No” shares to fade the public narrative
- Monitor: Markets are fluid. You can sell your position at any time before Rodgers is traded and/or retires
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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