The Golden State Warriors will be without Steph Curry tonight when they travel to Frost Bank Center to face the San Antonio Spurs on Friday, Nov. 13.
Curry’s absence will create major problems for Golden State’s offense, and my Warriors vs. Spurs prediction and NBA picks expects San Antonio to cover the spread as the large home favorite behind a stellar, all-around effort from Victor Wembanyama.
Both teams are dealing with key injuries, so I’m also targeting the Over on points lines for De’Anthony Melton and Julian Champagnie as they make the most of new opportunities in this Friday, Nov. 13 matchup.
TOP PICK
Warriors vs Spurs prediction: Spurs -11.5
Trade to -12.5.
The Golden State Warriors’ eight-game win streak was snapped with a loss to the Houston Rockets on Wednesday, and Steph Curry left that one after only six minutes. Curry is out, and he averaged 32.6 points and 5.3 triples during the win streak.
Golden State ranks third in Defensive Rating at home at 105.1 but just 24th on the road at 119. The Dubs allow only 105.3 ppg at Chase Center but a whopping 120.2 at all other locations.
The Warriors have scored only three points fewer on the road, but coupled with the massive dropoff in defensive efficiency and the loss of Curry’s scoring and floor-spacing, Golden State is not in a competitive position.
COVERS INTEL: Golden State’s compromised offense won’t be able to win a shootout, and its defense will be vulnerable. The Warriors have allowed the eighth-most PITP (54) and fourth-most fast-break points on the road (20.4). San Antonio excels in both areas offensively, scoring the second-most PITP (54.8) and most fast-break points (19.1).
Warriors vs Spurs combo
Golden State has scored 104+ points in every game this season, but that can change on Friday night. Stephen Curry’s absence will cause scoring and spacing problems for the Warriors’ offense, which already struggles on the road.
Do-it-all forward Yaxel Lendeborg may struggle when facing reigning DPOY Victor Wembanyama, further limiting the shorthanded offense. Trade down to 102.5.
Wembanyama has averaged a whopping 49.5 PRA across his last eight games, clearing this combo line five times in that span. Golden State’s defense has struggled on the road, and the aging and undersized frontcourt won’t be able to contain the 7’4 Wemby. Trade to 45.5.
Warriors vs Spurs combo
- Spurs -11.5
- Warriors Under 103.5 points
- Victor Wembanyama Over 44.5 points + rebounds + assists
Warriors vs Spurs player props
Warriors player prop: De’Anthony Melton Over 14.5 points
I’ll trade this line down to 45%, but I’m happy to get value at 40%. De'Anthony Melton is averaging only 10.1 ppg this season, but with Curry sidelined, he’s expected to step up as a scorer, and I’ll trade this line down to 45%.
Melton averaged 13 ppg across 24 appearances with Curry out a season ago, and he posted 25 and 21 points in two such games this season, scoring 11 on Wednesday after Curry got injured.
Golden State’s backcourt will be even thinner with Brandon Williams sidelined. Williams averaged 18.5 points across 24.5 minutes in two games without Curry.
Spurs player prop: Julian Champagnie Over 9.5 points
Julian Champagnie has started each of the last two games with Devin Vassell sidelined, and he's scored 10+ in three straight games, averaging 12.3 points across 27.7 minutes.
With both Vassell and De'Aaron Fox questionable tonight, Champagnie could be in line for additional playing time and scoring opportunities. Trade to 10.5.
The sharpshooter is taking a career-best 6.5 3PA while shooting a career-high 43.6% from beyond the arc. He can find success against a Warriors team that’s allowed opponents to shoot 36% from downtown.
- Top picks: 5-13, -8.24 units
- Combos: 0-18, -18.00 units
- Props: 13-21, -8.42 units
Warriors vs Spurs odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Warriors +11.5 (47%) | Spurs -11.5 (55%)
- Over/Under: Over 217.5 (50%) | Under 217.5 (51%)
- Moneyline: Warriors 16% | Spurs 85%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Warriors vs Spurs trend
The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Warriors vs Spurs
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Friday, Nov. 13, 2026 |
| Tip off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Warriors vs Spurs latest injuries
Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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