Knicks vs Pacers Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's NBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 13, 2026 , 02:20 PM ET • 4 min read

Two of the league's most reliable Under targets face off tonight, and our expert sees the Knicks and Pacers producing another low-scoring affair.

nba

Nov 13 • 2:00 PM ET
Knicks vs. Pacers Prediction
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Nembhard, NBA

The New York Knicks (-6.5) will look to get a road win on Friday as they visit the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

New York's defense has been stifling opponents, and I'm expecting the Under to hit in my Knicks vs. Pacers prediction. Let's break down all my NBA picks for Friday, Nov. 13.

 TOP PICK
Knicks vs Pacers prediction: Under 218.5 

The New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers are two of the NBA's most reliable Under teams so far this season, and they've gone below the total in 16 of their 23 games.

The Pacers have come in below tonight's total in five of their last six games overall, but they're basically running a track meet compared to the Knicks.

New York ranks last in pace this year, and along with a strong defense - the Knicks rank seventh in defensive rating - it is playing to an average total of just 213.8 ppg.

Indiana isn't lighting the world on fire offensively either, averaging 111.6 ppg and setting the stage for a low-scoring slog tonight.

I'm backing Under 218.5 at up to 55%.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Knicks rank 24th in true shooting (55.8%) but 7th in effective field goal percentage allowed (51.4%), a combination that has kept scores low in their games.

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Knicks vs Pacers combo

The Pacers have covered in four of their last five meetings with the Knicks, and I'm always interested in a team getting this many points at home.

With New York coming off a surprising home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday, I like Indiana to cover tonight.

Along with taking the Pacers and the Under, I'll add a leg on Andrew Nembhard to score 15+ points to complete my combo. Nembhard is putting up 17.1 ppg this season and has hit the 15-point mark in seven of his first 10 games this year.

Even against a tough Knicks defense, this is a very reasonable target with good value.

Knicks vs Pacers combo

  • Under 218.5
  • Pacers +6.5
  • Andrew Nembhard Over 14.5 points

Knicks vs Pacers player props


Knicks player prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 19.5 points 

Karl-Anthony Towns continues to dominate down low for the Knicks. Even in a losing effort to the Cavaliers on Wednesday, he nearly put up a triple-double, scoring 21 points with 11 rebounds and eight assists.

Towns is an outstanding rebounder, but his scoring total is even more valuable tonight. He's averaging 20.9 ppg for the year and has now put up 20+ points in each of his last three games. He's consistent as well, shooting 55.0% from the field and 77.6% from the free-throw line.

I like Towns to score 20+ points tonight and will be trading that market up to 62%.


Pacers player prop: Andrew Nembhard Over 7.5 assists

While Nembhard has been an effective scorer for the Pacers, his real value comes as a passer. His 7.8 assists per game rank within the top 10 in the NBA so far this year.

That's not a fluke, as he put up 7.7 assists per game last season as well.

Nembhard has recorded eight or more assists in each of his last three games, finishing with eight, 12, and 10 while averaging 33.3 minutes. He'll continue to be Indiana's main distributor, and I like his assist total tonight at up to 55%.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 5-6, -1.15 units
  • Combos: 1-10, -4.94 units
  • Props: 4-6, -2.70 units
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Knicks vs Pacers odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Knicks -6.5 | Pacers +6.5
  • Over/Under: Over 218.5 | Under 218.5
  • Moneyline: Knicks 73% | Pacers 28%

For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!

Knicks vs Pacers trend

The Under is 8-3 in New York's games this season. Find more NBA betting trends.

Get in on the NBA action with Polymarket referral code COVERS if you're in the US,
or our Sports Interaction promo code if you're in Canada.

How to watch Knicks vs Pacers

Location Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Ind.
Date Friday, Nov. 13, 2026
Tip off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Knicks vs Pacers latest injuries

Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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