Memphis heads to the Big Easy for NBA Cup group play Friday, Nov. 13, at 8 p.m. ET at Smoothie King Center.
My Grizzlies vs. Pelicans prediction examines a 3.5-point Memphis favorite and a 234.5-point total.
For more analysis of Friday's slate, check out our NBA picks page.
TOP PICK
Grizzlies vs Pelicans prediction: Pelicans +3.5
I like the New Orleans Pelicans +3.5, down to a pick 'em.
New Orleans upset the Memphis Grizzlies 135-134 in overtime as a 5.5-point underdog earlier this month, but the final score undersells how well the Pelicans played. They led for 76% of the game, had 10 more field-goal attempts, and committed half as many turnovers.
They should win the "battle for possessions" again. Their offensive turnover rates are nearly identical, but NOLA forces roughly two more turnovers per game, and Memphis ranks 25th in points off of turnovers allowed per game.
Also, I'm not a believer in the Grizzlies long-term. Memphis is 2-4 straight-up and against the spread over the last two weeks and ranks 19th in spread differential.
COVERS INTEL: Memphis' 7-foot-3 starting C, Zach Edey, has been ruled out, giving New Orleans a huge edge in the paint. The Pelicans lead the NBA in shot volume at the rim, and the Grizzlies allow the most second-chance points per game. 
Grizzlies vs Pelicans combo
Reminder: I'm only risking a quarter-unit on these NBA combos.
Memphis is running out of big men, and New Orleans is the last team I'd want to face with a depleted frontcourt. The Pelicans attack the basket relentlessly, and without Edey protecting the rim, the Grizzlies could spend tonight getting bullied in the paint.
But Memphis' size disadvantage creates opportunities on both sides. Someone has to clean up the glass for the Grizzlies, while New Orleans needs its remaining rotation players to shoulder more of the scoring load.
That gives this combo a nice correlation without needing a blowout or some ridiculous outlier performance to cash.
Grizzlies vs Pelicans combo
- Pelicans +3.5
- Cedric Coward Over 7.5 rebounds
- Herbert Jones Over 9.5 points
Grizzlies vs Pelicans player props
Grizzlies player prop: Cedric Coward Over 7.5 rebounds
Memphis will have to rebound better with Edey and backup 7-foot big Quinten Post out, and I'm picking Cedric Coward Over 7.5 rebounds up to 50%.
Coward grabbed nine boards against the Pelicans earlier this month, and he's grabbed at least nine in six of his 10 games.
Despite being Memphis' starting shooting guard, Coward has the second-highest rebounding rate on the team, behind Edey (minimum of five minutes played).
Pelicans player prop: Herbert Jones Over 9.5 points
Herbert Jones 10+ points prop should be priced at least 45%, considering the Pelicans won't have starting wing Trey Murphy III and starting combo guard Dejounte Murray is doubtful to play at the time of writing.
Also, Edey's absence should collapse Memphis' defense and give Jones, a 3-and-D guy, wide-open looks from behind the arc.
He went 3-for-7 from deep against the Grizzlies in their first meeting, but Jones ranks in the 77th percentile of wings in shot volume at the rim, too.
- Top picks: 12-10, +1.93 units
- Combos: 1-21, -9.49 units
- Props: 17-22-1, -4.01 units
Grizzlies vs Pelicans odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Grizzlies -3.5 | Pelicans +3.5
- Over/Under: Over 234.5 | Under 234.5
- Moneyline: Grizzlies 60% | Pelicans 41%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Grizzlies vs Pelicans trend
The Pelicans have won and covered three straight meetings with the Grizzlies dating back to last season. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Grizzlies vs Pelicans
| Location | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA |
| Date | Friday, Nov. 13, 2026 |
| Tip off | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | DAZN-MEM, Gulf Coast Sports |
Grizzlies vs Pelicans latest injuries
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