Saturday's five-game NBA slate includes the Nuggets visiting the Pelicans and the Mavericks taking on the Cavaliers.
Our NBA against the spread picks cover every matchup, with more expert analysis, odds, and probabilities in our NBA picks.
NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 14
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
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Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 14
Nuggets vs Pelicans: Nuggets -11.5
This spread reflects how poorly the New Orleans Pelicans are playing, and for good reason. They lost 145-111 to the Nets earlier this week before falling 142-111 to the Grizzlies on Friday. The Pels have been a disaster defensively, while the Denver Nuggets are 4-2 on the road. New Orleans is also without Dejounte Murray and Trey Murphy.
Mavericks vs Cavaliers: Cavaliers -2.5
The Dallas Mavericks were hammered by 39 points against the Timberwolves on Thursday. Although the Cleveland Cavaliers lost to the Heat on Friday, they're 4-2 at home, have a more efficient offense, and shoot the ball much better. I'll back the Cavs.
Pistons vs Heat: Pistons -4.5
The Detroit Pistons possess an elite defense, allowing just 107.8 points per game. The Miami Heat? They're giving up 120.1. That's a massive difference, and Detroit is already 5-1 on the road. The Pistons are also well-rested, while Miami is playing the second night of a back-to-back. Detroit is the play.
Nets vs Grizzlies: Grizzlies -5.5
The Memphis Grizzlies showcased their offensive firepower against the Pelicans and have a +8.1 scoring margin, compared with -5.1 for the Brooklyn Nets. Memphis ranks seventh in scoring, while Brooklyn ranks 24th, and the Grizzlies can exploit the Nets' 20th-ranked defense.
Bulls vs Timberwolves: Timberwolves -14.5
I know this is a massive spread, but the Chicago Bulls are downright awful, allowing the most points per game in the league. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a +13.4 scoring margin, compared with Chicago's -13.3. The Wolves are 5-1 at home and continue to win without Anthony Edwards. I'll back Minny for another convincing victory.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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