NBA Against the Spread Picks: Saturday, Nov. 14

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 , 12:00 PM ET • 4 min read

All the favorites will cover tonight, including a big victory for Minnesota against the lowly Bulls.

NBA against the spread predictions. Nikola Jokic, LaMelo Ball, NBA.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Nikola Jokic, LaMelo Ball, NBA.

Saturday's five-game NBA slate includes the Nuggets visiting the Pelicans and the Mavericks taking on the Cavaliers.

Our NBA against the spread picks cover every matchup, with more expert analysis, odds, and probabilities in our NBA picks.

NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 14

For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Matchup Pick
Nuggets Nuggets
Pelicans Pelicans
Nuggets -11.5
52%
Mavericks Mavericks
Cavaliers Cavaliers
Cavaliers -2.5
50%
Pistons Pistons
Heat Heat
Pistons -4.5
51%
Nets Nets
Grizzlies Grizzlies
Grizzlies -5.5
50%
Bulls Bulls
Timberwolves Timberwolves
Timberwolves -14.5
50%

Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 14

Nuggets vs Pelicans: Nuggets -11.5

This spread reflects how poorly the New Orleans Pelicans are playing, and for good reason. They lost 145-111 to the Nets earlier this week before falling 142-111 to the Grizzlies on Friday. The Pels have been a disaster defensively, while the Denver Nuggets are 4-2 on the road. New Orleans is also without Dejounte Murray and Trey Murphy.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers: Cavaliers -2.5

The Dallas Mavericks were hammered by 39 points against the Timberwolves on Thursday. Although the Cleveland Cavaliers lost to the Heat on Friday, they're 4-2 at home, have a more efficient offense, and shoot the ball much better. I'll back the Cavs.

Pistons vs Heat: Pistons -4.5

The Detroit Pistons possess an elite defense, allowing just 107.8 points per game. The Miami Heat? They're giving up 120.1. That's a massive difference, and Detroit is already 5-1 on the road. The Pistons are also well-rested, while Miami is playing the second night of a back-to-back. Detroit is the play.

Nets vs Grizzlies: Grizzlies -5.5

The Memphis Grizzlies showcased their offensive firepower against the Pelicans and have a +8.1 scoring margin, compared with -5.1 for the Brooklyn Nets. Memphis ranks seventh in scoring, while Brooklyn ranks 24th, and the Grizzlies can exploit the Nets' 20th-ranked defense.

Bulls vs Timberwolves: Timberwolves -14.5

I know this is a massive spread, but the Chicago Bulls are downright awful, allowing the most points per game in the league. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a +13.4 scoring margin, compared with Chicago's -13.3. The Wolves are 5-1 at home and continue to win without Anthony Edwards. I'll back Minny for another convincing victory.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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