It’s a “Texas-sized” showdown when the San Antonio Spurs visit the Houston Rockets tonight.
As we know, everything is bigger in the Lone Star State, including San Antonio center Victor Wembanyama, who is a tower of power, especially on the boards.
My Spurs vs. Rockets predictions expect the 7-foot-4 Frenchman to wipe the glass clean. Here are my best NBA picks for January 20.
Spurs vs Rockets prediction
Spurs vs Rockets best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 8.5 Rebounds (-140)
The cleanly-shaven Victor Wembanyama is a stat sheet stuffer, especially now that he’s back in the swing of things after an injury-shortened December.
Along with his offensive performances, Wemby has snatched rebounding efforts of nine, 10, and 10 during the San Antonio Spurs’ three-game winning streak. However, all three results stayed below his rebounding totals of 10.5 O/U.
Tonight’s matchup with the Houston Rockets sees that rebounding total dip to as low as 8.5 O/U against a Houston team that ranks among the top rebounding squads in the NBA. While the Rockets do a fine job cleaning the glass, this adjustment is much too large.
Wembanyama’s recent tallies come despite a decrease in rebounding chance (14.3 per game last three vs. 16.6 on the season), with San Antonio’s sharp shooting limiting his impact on the offensive glass.
This will be the second of back-to-back games for the Spurs, taking those heavy legs on the road where their shooting success drops from 49% at home to 45.8% as a visitor. Houston presents plenty of pushback, sitting seventh in advanced defensive rating and checking opponents to 45.5% shooting at home (seventh lowest).
In his only matchup with the Rockets this season, Wembanyama recorded eight boards on 14 rebounding chances. Houston had burly center Steven Adams in action for that meeting as well as forward Tari Eason (a combined 14.6 rebounds per game). Adams is out, and Eason is questionable tonight.
Player projections for this game list Wembanyama’s rebounding totals between nine and 12.2, with my number coming out to 10.2 rebounds. That should have the Over 8.5 rebounds priced around -180 instead of the -140 at bet365.
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Spurs vs Rockets same-game parlay
Wembanyama has secured nine or more boards in three straight games, and his work on the glass is vital to stopping the Rockets.
Kevin Durant will benefit from plenty of kickouts, as the Houston runs into Wemby inside and hits KD for open looks.
The Spurs are playing the second of back-to-back games and don’t shoot well on the road. Meanwhile, the Rockets play at a plodding pace and feature a very stingy defense at home.
Spurs vs Rockets SGP
- Victor Wembanyama Over 8.5 rebounds
- Kevin Durant Over 2.5 threes
- Under 220.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Texas Takedown
Houston is a step up for the Spurs, who have beaten up on some bad teams during this streak.
Spurs vs Rockets SGP
- Rockets -3.5
- Victor Wembanyama Over 8.5 rebounds
- Kevin Durant Over 2.5 threes
- Under 220.5
Spurs vs Rockets odds
- Spread: Spurs +4 (-110) | Rockets -4 (-110)
- Moneyline: Spurs +140 | Rockets -165
- Over/Under: Over 219.5 (-110) | Under 219.5 (-110)
Spurs vs Rockets betting trend to know
San Antonio is 4-7 Over/Under as a road underdog this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Rockets.
How to watch Spurs vs Rockets
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
| Date | Tuesday, January 20, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Spurs vs Rockets latest injuries
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