Southwest Division rivals face off in tonight's “Battle of Texas” as the San Antonio Spurs host the Houston Rockets.
Elite defense will be on display from both teams, and my Rockets vs Spurs predictions call for the Under to hit at Frost Bank Center.
Here are my free NBA picks for this divisional tilt on Sunday, March 8.
Rockets vs Spurs prediction
Rockets vs Spurs best bet: Under 222.5 (-115)
Don’t expect a high-scoring affair tonight, as the Under has hit in two straight and eight of the last 10 head-to-head matchups between the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs.
Houston is 27-35 to the Under — including a 13-30 mark on the road — while San Antonio is 26-38 (12-17 at home).
The Rockets have allowed the third-fewest points per game at 109.3, and the Spurs have allowed the seventh-fewest at 111.4.
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Rockets vs Spurs same-game parlay
Alperen Sengun has found success against Victor Wembanyama, averaging 20.2 points and 5.4 assists across nine head-to-head matchups.
Sengun has recorded 19+ points in 30 of 55 games overall and two of three against the Spurs this season.
He's recorded at least six dimes in 33 of 55 games overall, cruising past this line in all three games against San Antonio.
Rockets vs Spurs SGP
- Under 222.5
- Alperen Sengun Over 18.5 points
- Alperen Sengun Over 5.5 assists
Our "from downtown" SGP: Battle of the bigs
Victor Wembanyama has averaged 12 rebounds in nine career matchups against Sengun, and he's pulled down 12+ in two of four of those at home.
Rockets vs Spurs SGP
- Under 222.5
- Alperen Sengun Over 18.5 points
- Alperen Sengun Over 5.5 assists
- Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
Rockets vs Spurs odds
- Spread: Rockets +5 | Spurs -5
- Moneyline: Rockets +170 | Spurs -205
- Over/Under: Over 222.5 (-105) | Under 222.5 (-115)
Rockets vs Spurs betting trend to know
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the game total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Spurs.
How to watch Rockets vs Spurs
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Sunday, March 8, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Rockets vs Spurs latest injuries
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