Pistons vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Expect Draymond Green to struggle on the glass.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 30, 2026 • 11:16 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
GS
39 %
DET
61 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Draymond Green u5.5  Total Rebounds (-130) Draymond Green u5.5 Total Rebounds (-130)
Read Analysis
olden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23).

How many teams are within three games of the Oklahoma City Thunder in the loss column, let alone one game?

Only the Detroit Pistons can claim that, and there is not much logic to thinking they will start tallying losses now, not even with the Golden State Warriors favored tonight.

My Pistons vs. Warriors predictions are not quite bold enough to bet the Detroit moneyline outright, but they will certainly doubt Golden State.

Read on for my NBA picks for Friday, January 30. 

Pistons vs Warriors prediction

Pistons vs Warriors best bet: Draymond Green Under 5.5 rebounds (-130)

Since Jimmy Butler’s ACL tear, Draymond Green has fallen short of this modest rebounding prop in three of four games, averaging just 4.25 rebounds per game.

The Golden State Warriors so needed Butler, in part, because Green’s game is aging faster than many realize. He is no longer equipped for this role.

Quite frankly, the time is probably coming when Green’s agitation with himself will start showing as he acts out against opponents. That could well come tonight, given the Detroit Pistons' physical playing style.

But even if Green plays the whole game, that may be as few as 24 minutes. He has played more than 24 minutes in any of his last four games, bothered by foul trouble in only one of them.

He does not have the fitness to play a long game. And he no longer has the athleticism to impact the game.

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Pistons vs Warriors same-game parlay

Green has scored 12 points total in the four games without Butler, shooting just 5-of-25 from the field.

He is falling apart in every aspect. With Green posing such a liability, the Pistons should have an edge in a close game. 

Pistons vs Warriors SGP

  • Draymond Green Under 5.5 rebounds
  • Draymond Green Under 7.5 points
  • Pistons moneyline

Our "from downtown" SGP: Cade!

With the Warriors shorthanded — also without Jonathan Kuminga tonight— Cade Cunningham's athleticism may feast.

Pistons vs Warriors SGP

  • Draymond Green Under 5.5 rebounds
  • Draymond Green Under 7.5 points
  • Cade Cunningham Over 23.5 points
  • Pistons moneyline

Pistons vs Warriors odds

  • Spread: Pistons +2.5 | Warriors -2.5
  • Moneyline: Pistons +120 | Warriors -140
  • Over/Under: Over 224.5 | Under 224.5

Pistons vs Warriors betting trend to know

Detroit is 3-1-1 against the spread in its last five games on the second night of a back-to-back, as well as 5-0 outright. Find more NBA betting trends for Pistons vs. Warriors.

How to watch Pistons vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Friday, January 30, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Pistons vs Warriors latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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