Pelicans vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Kings are glad to be losing, which provides bettors a chance to win.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Mar 5, 2026 • 12:32 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
NO
68 %
SAC
32 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
New Orleans -5.5 (-110) New Orleans -5.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Zion Williamson New Orleans Pelicans NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New Orleans Pelicans forward Zion Williamson gets to the rim.

Only an NBA bettor could love a game like this matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings. 

My Pelicans vs. Kings predictions recognize the difference between a bad team and a tanking team.

Read more in my NBA picks for Thursday, March 5.

Pelicans vs Kings prediction

Pelicans vs Kings best bet: Pelicans -5.5 (-110)

Some teams are not tanking. They are just bad.

To be clear, just being bad is preferable to tanking. Even terrible basketball can yield quality results, while clearing out a rotation of all trusted contributors largely produces only deflating losses.

The Sacramento Kings are tanking. The New Orleans Pelicans are just bad.

New Orleans has won four of seven games since the All-Star Break, including going 2-1 outright as a favorite. Sacramento has managed an admirable 2-5 outright in the same stretch, though both wins came against teams that were also tanking.

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Pelicans vs Kings same-game parlay

Do you think Russell Westbrook cares about your tanking effort?

Westbrook is incapable of playing at anything less than 100% effort and intensity at all times, and he has cleared this points prop in three of his last four games.

Pelicans vs Kings SGP

  • Pelicans -5.5
  • Under 234.5
  • Russell Westbrook Over 15.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Russ Gonna Russ

This SGP shouldn’t jump more than 130% just by factoring in Westbrook’s struggles from deep.

This exact combination cashed last week, as Westbrook went 1-of-7 from beyond the arc while scoring 22 points in a 31-point loss.

Pelicans vs Kings SGP

  • Pelicans -5.5
  • Under 234.5
  • Russell Westbrook Over 15.5 points
  • Russell Westbrook Under 2.5 threes

Pelicans vs Kings odds

  • Spread: Pelicans -5.5 (-110) | Kings +5.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Pelicans -200 | Kings +165
  • Over/Under: Over 234.5 (-110) | Under 234.5 (-110)

Pelicans vs Kings betting trend to know

The Kings are 3-6 ATS in their last nine contests. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Kings.

How to watch Pelicans vs Kings

Location Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date Thursday, March 5, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV GCSEN, NBC Sports California

Pelicans vs Kings latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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