The NBA Cup group stage continues tonight with nine games on the schedule, and I've got my best NBA ATS picks for all the action.
See why my NBA picks for Friday, Nov. 13 are topped by the Hawks and the Trail Blazers.
NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 13
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Knicks Pacers |
-6.5 53% |
 Bucks Magic |
-8.5 53% |
 Cavs Heat |
+2.5 51% |
 Hawks Bulls |
-7.5 50% |
 Grizzlies Pelicans |
-3.5 51% |
 Jazz Rockets |
+17.5 53% |
 Warriors Spurs |
-12.5 51% |
 Blazers Kings |
-10.5 51% |
 Thunder Clippers |
+7.5 52% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 13
Knicks vs. Pacers: Knicks -6.5
The New York Knicks have one of the league's top defensive units, and they're up against an Indiana Pacers team that ranks 19th in offensive rating.
Indiana is just 1-5 at home, and New York has a 9.2-point scoring margin above the Pacers. I'll gladly take the visitors to cover.
Bucks vs. Magic: Magic -8.5
Both of these teams have been poor early on, but the Milwaukee Bucks are truly a dumpster fire, and I do not trust them to make this close, despite the Orlando Magic's inconsistent play.
Milwaukee has dropped eight straight, and they've failed to cover this spread in four games in a row. The Magic have also won back-to-back games, and could get Jalen Suggs back tonight.
Cavaliers vs. Heat: Cavs +2.5
Even without Evan Mobley tonight, I like the Cleveland Cavaliers as an underdog.
The Miami Heat have been a defensive liability, and they're allowing the fifth-most points per game (120). The Cavs also have a more consistent offense, and they're coming off an inspiring win over the defending-champion Knicks.
Hawks vs. Bulls: Hawks -7.5
This is one of my top picks for the night.
The Atlanta Hawks play at a fast pace and are up against a horrendous Chicago Bulls defense that is allowing a league-worst 128.8 ppg. Atlanta should be able to expose Chicago in numerous ways, especially in transition. The Bulls are also winless at home.
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: Grizzlies -3.5
The Memphis Grizzlies are a perfect 5-0 on the road this season, and they're facing a New Orleans Pelicans squad that has dropped four in a row. The Pels are 26th in defensive rating, while Memphis is seventh in offensive rating and ppg.
This is a clear mismatch, and the Grizzlies should cruise against a divisional opponent.
Jazz vs. Rockets: Jazz +17.5
I have zero doubts the Houston Rockets will win this game, but a 17.5-point spread is too much for my liking. While the Utah Jazz are a nightmare, Houston is 27th in pace. That could make it difficult to build a massive lead, even against Utah.
It'll be a double-digit victory, but I expect the Jazz to cover.
Warriors vs. Spurs: Spurs -12.5
The Golden State Warriors were rolling, but the injury bug has bitten them, with numerous key pieces out, most notably Stephen Curry.
The San Antonio Spurs are relatively healthy, and with the Dubs heading into this matchup without several important scorers, I'll happily take San Antonio to cover this large spread.
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: Blazers -10.5
The Portland Trail Blazers just beat the Thunder in back-to-back games, and now they get a soft matchup against the Sacramento Kings, who are allowing 121 ppg and sit 28th in defensive rating. Portland is 5-1 on the road while the Kings are 0-6 at home. There's also a 20-point differential in scoring margin between these two teams.
The Blazers will run away with tonight's game.
Thunder vs. Clippers: Clippers +7.5
I'm leaning toward the Los Angeles Clippers ATS. The Oklahoma City Thunder are undoubtedly the better team, but injuries have depleted their rotation, and they've lost two straight.
Los Angeles hasn't been impressive either, but getting more than seven points at home against a shorthanded OKC squad offers some value.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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