Jazz vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Jazz muted by Spurs in first half.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 19, 2026 • 12:40 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 2 hrs
SA
35 %
UTA
65 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u117.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
San Antonio Spurs NBA Stephon Castle
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Antonio Spurs guard Stephon Castle (5) dribbles up the court.

There are bad teams in the NBA that can spring a surprise at any moment, and the Utah Jazz did upset the San Antonio Spurs less than a month ago.

That said, my Jazz vs. Spurs predictions do not expect that jolt to be sprung twice. Find out why my NBA picks are calling for a first-half statement by San Antonio on Monday, January 19.

Jazz vs Spurs prediction

Jazz vs Spurs best bet: Under 117.5 1H (-115)

Afternoon games often lead to slow starts, with NBA players far more used to their routine than the general public may realize.

This game tips off at 3:00 p.m. on the Utah Jazz players' body clocks. That may seem anecdotal, but combine that reality with the San Antonio Spurs' Under tendencies — cashing eight straight Unders before Saturday's shootout between Victor Wembanyama and Anthony Edwards — and the sluggish start becomes that much more likely.

The stats broadly agree with this thought, too. Utah ranks No. 23 in offensive rating in the last 10 games, while San Antonio ranks No. 4 in defensive rating in that same stretch.

The Spurs should control this game in a rout until it eases to the final whistle.

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Jazz vs Spurs same-game parlay

Utah is evading notice thus far, enjoying only the seventh-worst record in the NBA, but the Jazz are very much tanking. They have gone 0-5 against the spread in their last five first halves, somehow losing a first quarter to Charlotte, 45-14.

This all may lead to a blowout, but Stephon Castle should clear his assist prop early. Ball movement is ripe against Utah.

Jazz vs Spurs SGP

  • Under 117.5 1H 
  • Spurs -10 1H
  • Stephon Castle Over 7.5 assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Wemby gets some rest

Doubting Wembanyama to score aplenty today is very much a doubt that the French star will need to play much in the fourth quarter, if at all.

Jazz vs Spurs SGP

  • Under 117.5 1H 
  • Spurs -10 1H
  • Stephon Castle Over 7.5 assists
  • Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points

Jazz vs Spurs odds

  • Spread: Jazz +16.5 | Spurs -16.5
  • Moneyline: Jazz +700 | Spurs -1100
  • Over/Under: Over 241 | Under 241

Jazz vs Spurs betting trend to know

Before Saturday’s shootout against Anthony Edwards, the previous eight Spurs games had all gone Under their totals and by an average of 19.9 points per game. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Spurs.

How to watch Jazz vs Spurs

Location Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date Monday, January 19, 2026
Tip-off 5:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-Southwest, KJZZ

Jazz vs Spurs latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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