Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Rudy Gobert leads the T-Wolves at home.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Mar 3, 2026 • 13:14 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
MEM
52 %
MIN
48 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Rudy Gobert o11.5  Points Scored (-112) Rudy Gobert o11.5 Points Scored (-112)
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Rudy Gobert Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Rudy Gobert dunks against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

This Minnesota Timberwolves era started with a frustrating first-round loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, hinting at a budding rivalry.

Instead, Memphis has reshaped its roster, leaving Minnesota as a two-touchdown favorite tonight.

My Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves predictions expect Minnesota to excel at the rim, a conscious roster-building decision sparked by that playoff loss four years ago.

Find out more in my NBA picks for Tuesday, March 3. 

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves prediction

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves best bet: Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 points (-112)

Rudy Gobert continues to thrive on the boards for the Minnesota Timberwolves, averaging 15.7 rebounds in his last three games.

And more often than not, Gobert's rebounding leads to putback opportunities.

Against an undermanned and undersized Memphis Grizzlies’ lineup, the Timberwolves should feed Gobert early and often.

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Grizzlies vs Timberwolves same-game parlay

Gobert has grabbed at least 13 rebounds in each of his last four games, and against such a depleted Grizzlies’ front line, more of the same should be anticipated. 

Meanwhile, not much should be expected from the 7-foot Santi Aldama in his first game since Feb. 4.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 points
  • Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 rebounds
  • Santi Aldama Under 5.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Shooting Into Consistency

Jaden McDaniels’s shooting from deep has yo-yo’ed a bit lately, but he has still shot 44.3% from beyond the arc this season.

A looming blowout should be an opportunity for him to put up four or five 3-pointers to regain his rhythm.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 points
  • Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 rebounds
  • Santi Aldama Under 5.5 rebounds
  • Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 threes

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies +14 (-110) | Timberwolves -14 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Grizzlies +575 | Timberwolves -850
  • Over/Under: Over 237.5 (-110) | Under 237.5 (-110)

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

Minnesota is 20-11 SU at home this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves.

How to watch Grizzlies vs Timberwolves

Location Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN SE-Memphis, FDSN North

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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