Despite walking into a raucous Madison Square Garden trailing the series 2–0, the San Antonio Spurs have regained traction after a road win in Game 3.
With Game 4 set to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET tonight, bet365 has New York billed as 2.5-point favorites to bounce back at the Garden, and our Covers experts have you primed with their best NBA picks for Wednesday, June 10.
Spurs vs Knicks Expert Picks Tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Jon Metler:  Karl-Anthony Towns o17.5 points |
-115 |
 Jason Logan: Josh Hart o10.5 points |
+100 |
 Joe Osborne:  Spurs TT o107.5 |
-108 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler's expert pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points
Price: -115 at bet365
Jalen Brunson is facing constant pressure from the San Antonio Spurs and is having to work far too hard for every point. With officials allowing a physical style of play, the New York Knicks need to make a concerted effort to feature Karl-Anthony Towns more in Game 4.
Towns is playing with tremendous confidence right now, and his five-out spacing presents a unique challenge for both the Spurs and Victor Wembanyama. Towns can stretch the floor, attack hard closeouts, and put the ball on the deck to finish at the rim, making him one of the toughest matchup problems on the court.
I expect Towns to benefit from the defensive attention Brunson commands, serving as a natural pressure-release option throughout the game. Whether it's a direct feed from Brunson or a touch against a rotating defense after the ball swings through Mikal Bridges or OG Anunoby, Towns should consistently find himself in advantageous scoring situations.
At 17.5 points, I'm backing the Over, a number I make closer to -165.
Jason Logan's expert pick: Josh Hart Over 10.5 points
Price: +100 at bet365
It’s wild to think that Josh Hart was the Knicks’ best shooter in the Game 3 loss (6-for-10), but it’s a fact the Spurs are happy to live with. San Antonio is assigning Wembanyama to Hart, allowing him to sag off and stay closer to the rim with little long-range threat from New York’s wily guard.
However, with the Knicks preaching more off-ball activity in Game 4 and Towns operating as a passer from the high post against smaller defenders, Hart will find even more room to operate tonight. He’s taken 19 shots in the NBA Finals, and 13 of them haven’t had a defender within at least six feet.
Hart also does his best work in MSG, averaging almost 13 points per home game in the playoffs on 46% shooting, compared to just 8.4 points on 40% shooting on the road.
Game 4 models range from 10.8 to a ceiling of 12+ points, with my number north of 11 points. That should have the Over 10.5 priced at -115, but we’re getting EVEN money on Hart to build on a 16-point effort in Game 3.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Spurs team total Over 107.5
Price: -108 at bet365
I'm backing the Spurs to keep their offensive momentum rolling in Game 4. They came alive again in Game 3, producing a series-high 115 points, which continued a theme we've seen throughout the playoffs.
San Antonio has consistently been a better offensive team away from home, posting stronger numbers across most key metrics and clearing this mark of 107.5 in all 10 of their road playoff games.
The MSG spotlight clearly wasn't too big for them, and I expect another productive offensive performance tonight.
More Spurs vs Knicks Game 4 picks
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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