The Boston Celtics got back home-court advantage in Game 3. Now they'll try to put a stranglehold on the series against the Philadelphia 76ers with another win in Philadelphia.
Philly is hampered by injury and had a rare collapse in crunch time to fall behind in the series. Boston seems to have everything going its way.
That's why my Celtics vs. 76ers predictions and NBA picks predict a Celtics cover as a road favorite.
Celtics vs 76ers prediction
Celtics vs 76ers best bet: Celtics -7.5 (-105)
The Boston Celtics thrive as the road favorite. Boston is 16-9 ATS in that position this season and 26-16 ATS overall in road games. The Philadelphia 76ers are below .500 ATS both as a home dog and in all home games.
The Game 3 result added to both trends.
Boston bounced back from a Game Two loss by clamping down on the two players who burned them. VJ Edgecombe and Tyrese Maxey combined for 59 points on 23-of-48 shooting, 11-of-22 from three, in Game Two.
Boston put Jayson Tatum on Edgecombe in game three, and both Philly shooters paid the price. They combined to hit just 17 of 47 shots and were 5-of-20 from three.
Maxey stopped trying to drive in the second half and found some success shooting from outside. Philadelphia will need to find an adjustment to get both of its scorers back into the game, however.
Embiid is improving but still listed as doubtful. His replacements in the paint have struggled. Adem Bona had hustle and high-energy plays, but too frequently made costly mistakes, picking up offensive fouls on moving screens and getting called for goaltending.
Backup Andre Drummond has been a defensive liability against the faster Nikola Vucevic.
While Philadelphia's bench players are getting exposed in the post in Embiid's absence, it highlights an overall Boston advantage in depth. The Celtics' bench outscored the Sixers' bench 35-14. They also logged significantly more minutes—92 to 52.
For the series, the bench scoring mismatch is 92-62 in Boston's favor, and the bench's minutes played are 264-225. The longer the series goes on, the more it will benefit the Boston starters.
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Celtics vs 76ers same-game parlay
Boston plays at the slowest tempo in the NBA, and Philadelphia is at No. 15. All three games in the series have gone under. Philly has gone Under in 10 of 15 games as a home dog this season, while Boston has been Under 16 of 25 as a road favorite.
Jayson Tatum is averaging 23 points in the playoffs and has scored 23 or more in nine of the last 10. He's a better bet than Jaylen Brown, whose points prop is 2.5 points below his playoff average, because Brown is less consistent with his scoring. In his last eight, he has three games over 35 points and five at 26 or lower.
Celtics vs 76ers SGP
- Celtics -7.5
- Under 213.5 points
- Jayson Tatum Over 22.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Mismatch Heaven!
Nikola Vucevic is in a mismatch with Bona, who can't stay on the floor with fouls and bad plays, and Drummond. He has 17 rebounds in the three games and could increase that if Philly relies more on the outside shot.
VJ Edgecombe has been Philly's best rebounding option with Embiid out. He hit double figures on the boards in each of the last two games and has 39 rebounds in the last five.
Tyrese Maxey found success from outside late in the last game, making four straight from three-point range in the second half. He's been hampered by a finger injury and made just 16 of 55 threes for a .291 percentage over a 10-game stretch before hitting five in each of the last two games.
Jaylen Brown has hit 13 threes in the last five games.
Celtics vs 76ers SGP
- Nikola Vucevic Over 5.5 rebounds
- VJ Edgecombe Over 6.5 rebounds
- Tyrese Maxey Over 2.5 made threes
- Jaylen Brown Over 1.5 made threes
Celtics vs 76ers odds for Game 4
- Spread: Celtics -7.5 | 76ers -7.5
- Moneyline: Celtics -290 | 76ers +237
- Over/Under: Over 213.5 | Under 213.5
Celtics vs 76ers betting trend to know
The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.60 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. 76ers.
How to watch Celtics vs 76ers Game 4
| Location | Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Sunday, April 26, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Celtics vs 76ers latest injuries
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