Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 12, 2026 , 08:18 AM ET • 4 min read

With Cam Schlittler on the bump, or Yankees vs. Rays predictions give the Bronx Bombers a big edge.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
NYY
59 %
TB
41 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
NY Yankees -147 NY Yankees -147
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Cam Schlittler New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cam Schlittler on the mound during a recent start for the Yankees.

The Tampa Bay Rays have the brooms ready at the Trop, trying to complete a three-game sweep of the AL East-leading New York Yankees.

New York does seem to have the right guy going to break the skid, with ace Cam Schlittler getting the start.

My Yankees vs. Rays predictions and MLB picks ride with Schlittler, especially with an unsettled starting proposition for the home team.

Who will win Yankees vs Rays today: Yankees moneyline (-147)

Cam Schlittler has been dynamite on the road, going 2-0 without surrendering a run over 11 2/3 innings. He’s only surrendered three hits against 15 strikeouts, and opponents are batting just .079 against him.

In one start at Tropicana Field last year, Schlittler gave up just a hit over 6 2/3 scoreless innings and fanned eight in a game the New York Yankees eventually won in extra innings.

Tampa has Drew Rasmussen slated to start, but that’s in flux with the birth of his second child. Jesse Scholtens was recalled from Triple-A Durham if he’s a no-go.

That’s an advantage for the Yankees.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Through three starts, Cam Schilttler leads all starting pitchers with a 0.48 WHIP. He’s the only pitcher on that first page of leaders to not allow a walk yet this season (16 2/3 innings).

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Yankees vs Rays Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-107)

The Tampa Bay Rays rank ninth in the majors in scoring, putting up 4.6 runs per game, but they will be running into a buzz saw in Schlittler, so I anticipate that number coming in low.

Rasmussen has allowed just two earned runs in two starts, but Tampa's bullpen has cratered after he’s finished his five innings, allowing 15 more runs in relief, and losing both games he’s started.

New York’s bats haven’t lifted off yet (16th in scoring), but this Rays bullpen is second-worst in the majors with a 6.04 ERA. This might be a good jump-off point.

Yankees vs Rays odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -138 | Rays +115
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+120) | Rays +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Yankees vs Rays trend

The Yankees lead the majors in fewest runs allowed per game at 2.79. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Rays.

How to watch Yankees vs Rays and game info

Location Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Date Sunday, April 12, 2026
First pitch 1:40 p.m. ET
TV YES, Rays TV
Yankees starting pitcher Cam Schlittler 
(2-0, 1.62 ERA)
Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen
(0-0, 1.80 ERA)

Yankees vs Rays latest injuries

Yankees vs Rays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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