Yankees vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 2, 2026 , 09:24 AM ET • 4 min read

Gerrit Cole has pitched like an ace the past month (2.97 ERA, 2.78 xFIP), and makes the New York Yankees an appealing buy at -125.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
NYY
48 %
CHC
52 %
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NY Yankees -125 NY Yankees -125
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Gerrit Cole Yankees vs Cubs Predictions
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Gerrit Cole (45) delivers the ball during the first inning against the Chicago White Sox.

The New York Yankees are -125 favorites to get back in the win column this afternoon.

Gerrit Cole gives them a big pitching edge, and my Yankees vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks see New York making the most of it on August 2.

Who will win Yankees vs Cubs today: Yankees (-125)

Gerrit Cole is in great form, having allowed just 10 runs over his last five starts while posting a 2.78 xFIP and 11.57 K/9.

His strong run of pitching should continue against the Chicago Cubs. They’ve been a middling offense the past month, sitting 16th in OPS and 20th in ISO against righties

The Cubs also struck out at the sixth-highest rate, which should feed into Cole’s spike in K rate. 

The New York Yankees have been up and down offensively, but should have their troubles eased against Colin Rea and his eighth percentile xERA.

Bet to -140.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cole's 98th percentile walk rate will help him further limit baserunners in a game with extremely pitcher-friendly conditions.

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Yankees vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 6.5 (-105)

It’s not often you see totals of 6.5 — and see value on the Under to boot — but that’s the case here.

Cole has pitched like an ace over the last month, limiting runs effectively while posting a high K rate and excellent contact profile.

With Chicago’s offense in middling form, and winds blowing in at more than 20 miles per hour, it’ll be difficult to hit for power — and Cole isn’t allowing many hits.

Rea owns a 3.69 ERA in pitcher-friendly conditions, and the strong winds will help him neutralize New York’s power.

Bet to -115.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 67-62, -9.10 units
  • Over/Under bets: 71-53-5, +9.34 units

Yankees vs Cubs weather

The forecast calls for temperatures in the high 60s and strong winds blowing in. Big boost to the pitching.

Yankees vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -130 | Cubs +110
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Cubs +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-115) | Under 6.5 (-105)

Yankees vs Cubs trend

New York has hit the game total Under in 25 of the last 40 games (+8.75 units, 20% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Cubs.

How to watch Yankees vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Sunday, August 2, 2026
First pitch 2:20 p.m. ET
TV YES, Marquee
Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole
(4-5, 3.57 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Colin Rea
(8-7, 4.68 ERA)

Yankees vs Cubs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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