Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 24, 2026 , 09:33 AM ET • 4 min read

With Drew Rasmussen on the mound, our Rays vs. Yankees predictions are siding with Tampa Bay as underdogs.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
TB
62 %
NYY
38 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Tampa Bay +119 Tampa Bay +119
Read Analysis
Drew Rasmussen Tampa Bay Rays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Drew Rasmussen on the mound in his latest start against the Marlins.

Only rain has been able to slow down the Tampa Bay Rays of late.

Inclement weather postponed Saturday’s showdown with the New York Yankees, but they’ll resume this afternoon, with Tampa seeking its fifth straight win in this head-to-head.

My Rays vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks lean on the visitors, who should have a leg up in the pitching matchup.

Who will win Rays vs Yankees today: Rays moneyline (+119)

I’m shocked the Tampa Bay Rays are underdogs: they’ve reeled off wins in eight of their last 10, and will start Drew Rasmussen, who struck out seven and allowed just one hit in six scoreless innings against the New York Yankees on April 12. 

New York’s lineup is in a power outage, scoring just three total runs across those losses. Ryan Weathers isn’t their first choice to stop the bleeding: he got rocked last start against Toronto, surrendering five earned runs on seven hits, and was taken yard twice.

At +119 odds, this is a no-brainer bet on the Rays.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Drew Rasmussen has dominated the current Yankees lineup, as they're hitting just .112 collectively against him. Aaron Judge is 1-for-13 (0.77) with eight strikeouts. Ben Rice, who leads MLB in OPS and slugging, has yet to record a hit against him in eight at-bats, striking out four times.

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Rays vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+110)

While New York has struggled to score, this Rays lineup has been mashing over the past week, ranking fifth in the majors in runs scored and first in on-base percentage. They are also inside the Top 3 in average, slugging, and OPS.

Rasmussen has gotten plenty of run support in his starts, and scoring overall, as the 7.5-run total has been crossed in seven of his nine starts this season.

The Over record between these teams is also 6-3-1 over the last 10. I’d call that 7.5 runs a generous line.

Eric Rosales' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 8-7, +0.99 units
  • Over/Under bets: 11-3, +7.62 units

Rays vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Rays +133 | Yankees -178
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+104) | Under 7.5 (-117)

Rays vs Yankees trend

The Rays have won 24 of their last 27 games against AL opponents.

How to watch Rays vs Yankees and game info

Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date Sunday, May 24, 2026
First pitch 1:35 p.m. ET
TV Rays.TV, YES
Rays starting pitcher Shane McClanahan
(5-2, 2.82 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren
(6-1, 3.61 ERA)

Rays vs Yankees latest injuries

Rays vs Yankees weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

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