Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 1, 2026 , 08:36 AM ET • 4 min read

Ronel Blanco has posted xERAs of 6.73 and 6.84 through two starts, and his life won't get any easier against the -125 Texas Rangers.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
TEX
52 %
HOU
48 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Texas -125 Texas -125
Bet Now
Jacob deGrom of the Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jacob deGrom of the Texas Rangers MLB

The Texas Rangers are -125 favorites to even their series against the Houston Astros on Saturday night.

The Rangers have a clear advantage on the mound, and my Rangers vs. Astros predictions and MLB picks expect that to shine through.

Who will win Rangers vs Astros today: Texas Rangers (-125)

Ronel Blanco has looked anything but sharp since returning to the Houston Astros rotation.

He conceded nine earned runs over just 10 innings of work while allowing multiple homers in both starts.

Blanco posted xERAs of 6.73 and 6.84. Not exactly comforting – especially facing the Chicago White Sox and Miami Marlins.

The Texas Rangers finished seventh in ISO vs. righties in July, and are more than capable of taking advantage.

I don’t see the Astros keeping up against Jacob deGrom, who owns a fantastic 3.08 SIERA.

Bet the Rangers to -135.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Blanco has allowed a 47.8% hard hit rate, second worst among today's starting pitchers.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Rangers vs Astros Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)

Aided by four home runs, this game soared Over the total on Friday night. I expect the power to be evident again in this one.

Blanco has bled homers over his first two starts, and the Rangers slot top-5 in both ISO and hard-hit rate the past two weeks.

While deGrom is having an excellent season, his profile is not spotless. He has not pitched as well on the road (4.33 ERA, 1.86 HR/9), and he ranks in the fifth percentile in hard contact allowed.

Expect homers to help push this Over again. Bet to -115.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 66-60, -7.25 units
  • Over/Under bets: 69-52-5, +8.49 units

Rangers vs Astros weather

This game will be played in a dome.

Rangers vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Rangers -125 | Astros +105
  • Run line: Rangers -1.5 (+125) | Astros +1.5 -145)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)

Rangers vs Astros trend

The Game Total has gone Over in nine straight games with Texas as the favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Astros.

How to watch Rangers vs Astros and game info

Location Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Date Saturday, August 1, 2026
First pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV RSN, Space City HN
Rangers starting pitcher Jacob deGrom
(7-6, 3.67 ERA)
Astros starting pitcher Ronel Blanco
(0-1, 8.10 ERA)

Rangers vs Astros latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo