Phillies vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 20, 2026 , 10:05 AM ET • 4 min read

Nico Hoerner & Co. have lit up the Phillies already this season, and we like the Cubs to storm to a sixth straight win in a high-scoring game at Wrigley tonight.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
PHI
33 %
CHC
67 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs -102 Chi. Cubs -102
Read Analysis
Nico Hoerner Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago Cubs infielder Nico Hoerner (42) advances to third against the Philadelphia Phillies

The Chicago Cubs just took two of three from the Philadelphia Phillies last week. Now, the teams open a four-game set at Wrigley Field tonight.

With these teams trending in opposite directions, my Phillies vs. Cubs predictions and free MLB picks have the home team reaching a season-best six-game win streak on Monday, April 20.

Who will win Phillies vs Cubs today: Cubs moneyline (-102)

The Philadelphia Phillies’ offense has hit the skids, part of the reason they’re on a five-game slide.

Philadelphia has scored two runs or fewer in four straight games, getting outscored 37-9 over the last five.

The Chicago Cubs, meanwhile, have outscored their opposition 39-13 during their five-game win streak.

Aaron Nola and Colin Rea will meet for the second straight time after both starters allowed three runs last time out. But the Cubs went to work on the Phillies’ bullpen, winning 10-4.

Expect to see much the same, as the Cubs are hitting .292 against Nola with a .904 OPS.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Nico Hoerner has torched the Phillies this season, hitting .357 in 14 ABs, with a .929 OPS, including a home run, eight RBI and three runs.

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Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Over 8 (+105)

There have been a ton of runs scored between these teams so far this season.

In each of their three meetings, one team has scored in double digits, and the Phillies and Cubs have combined to score at least 13 runs in every game.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Over has gone 6-2-2, including 4-0-2 in the last six.

Chicago hits Nola well, but the Phillies have dinged Rea too, although on a smaller sample size (41 at-bats). They’re hitting .366 against him, with a .938 OPS and .512 slugging percentage.

Eric Rosales' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 1-4, -2.08 units
  • Over/Under bets: 2-3, +0.88 units

Phillies vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies -104 | Cubs +100
  • Run line: Phillies -1.5 (+170) | Cubs +1.5 (-178)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+127) | Under 8.5 (-133)

Phillies vs Cubs trend

Each of Chicago's last six night games against NL East opponents have hit the Over. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Cubs.

How to watch Phillies vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Monday, April 20, 2026
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV Peacock
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola
(1-1, 4.03 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Colin Rea
(2-0, 3.64 ERA)

Phillies vs Cubs latest injuries

Phillies vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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