Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 2, 2026 , 12:11 PM ET • 4 min read

The Dodgers will kick off a four-game series with the Padres in style tonight, per our MLB expert.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
SD
38 %
LAD
62 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (+114) LA Dodgers -1.5 (+114)
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Los Angeles Dodgers Freddie Freeman MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman.

The Los Angeles Dodgers look to stay hot when they open a four-game series against the San Diego Padres tonight.

The Dodgers (-178) come into the contest as the clear favorites over the Padres (+170), and I’ll break down why the hosts will run up the score against some shoddy pitching.

Read my full Padres vs. Dodgers predictions and free MLB picks below.

Who will win Padres vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (+114)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 11-4 over their last 15 games and firing on all cylinders offensively. The hosts are hitting .283 as a team over that span while averaging 5.5 runs per game.

The San Diego Padres are sending Randy Vasquez to the hill tonight, which will only make things easier for Los Angeles. Vasquez sits in the fourth percentile in pitching run value, as well as the bottom percentile in xERA (7.05).

Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki hasn’t been great, but he owns a solid 3.50 ERA at home, holding opposing batters to just a .228 average at Dodger Stadium.

Playable to +100.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Vasquez is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA in five career appearances vs. the Dodgers.

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Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+119)

L.A. has loved facing right-handed pitching this season, leading the majors in runs scored (348), batting average (.272), and wRAA (68.5). Vasquez has a massive 7.84 ERA over his last five starts, so expect the Dodgers to put up plenty of offense.

Sasaki last faced San Diego on Friday, giving up three runs in just four innings, so the Padres will be capable of scoring some runs as well.

The Over is 3-0 in each of the last three starts for both pitchers.

Playable to +110.

Chris Faria's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 4-1, +2.05 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-4, -3.12 units

Padres vs Dodgers weather

It'll be a fairly cool night in Los Angeles (67F), but hitters will get a slight bump with winds blowing out to right-center at 8 mph.

Padres vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego +170 | Los Angeles -178
  • Run line: San Diego +1.5 (-117) | Los Angeles -1.5 (+113)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+122) | Under 9.5 (-127)

Padres vs Dodgers trend

The Dodgers have covered the first five innings (F5) run line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Padres vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Thursday, July 2, 2026
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV Padres.TV, SportsNet LA
Padres starting pitcher Randy Vasquez
(6-6, 4.44 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Roki Sasaki
(3-5, 4.88 ERA)

Padres vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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