The Los Angeles Dodgers are slight road favorites against the New York Yankees, and I’m laying the short moneyline price.
Ryan Weathers’ fastball issues are a difficult fit against the best offense in baseball.
Here are my Dodgers vs Yankees predictions and MLB picks for July 18.
Who will win Dodgers vs Yankees today: Dodgers moneyline (-112)
I’m backing the Los Angeles Dodgers because Ryan Weathers’ biggest weakness runs directly into this lineup’s strength.
I thought yesterday was the New York Yankees' best chance to get a win in this series, and without it, I see them at risk of being swept.
Weathers, who allows a 55.6% hard hit rate that ranks in the bottom 30 percent of baseball, is a real issue against the best offense in baseball.
LA hurler Emmet Sheehan is not risk-free, but his 30% whiff rate gives them a pretty direct route against a Yankees lineup that has the third-highest rate of such stats in the sport.
In a game that's a near pick'em, I'd play the Dodgers down to -133.
COVERS INTEL: Sheehan’s slider is his separator, holding hitters to a .317 xSLG with a 39.1% whiff rate
Dodgers vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 9
I’m playing the Over because both starters have pitch-shape issues that can turn into home-run damage. Weathers’ fastball has been a big issue, and "he's facing the Dodgers" is simply enough analysis to tell you why that presents troubles here.
Sheehan also gives New York a path. His heater has also had some issues. It's allowed a .550 xSLG, and his 65.0% air-ball rate, which makes him vulnerable against teams that can get the ball elevated.
The Yankees are inconsistent without their full lineup, but they still carry enough barrel power at Yankee Stadium to help clear nine.
- ML/RL bets: 39-35, +6.47 units
- Over/Under bets: 43-33, +12.32 units
Dodgers vs Yankees weather
Thunderstorms are expected at the start of tonight's ballgame. It will be hot and humid, with winds blowing out to center field.
Dodgers vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Dodgers -110 | Yankees -110
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 | Yankees +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Dodgers vs Yankees trend
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs Yankees
How to watch Dodgers vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Saturday, July 18, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8:08 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.81 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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