Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 11, 2026 , 11:22 AM ET • 4 min read

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives the Boys in Blue much-needed longevity and a substantial starting pitching advantage.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
AZ
38 %
LAD
62 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-126) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-126)
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound in a start against the Padres.

The Los Angeles Dodgers hope to get back on track against the Arizona Diamondbacks after dropping the opening game of the series. 

L.A. is -257 on the moneyline, and the total has been bumped up to 9.5 given the hitter-friendly weather.

My Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks fancy the home team and the Under for Saturday, July 11.

Who will win Diamondbacks vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-122)

The Los Angeles Dodgers essentially punted Game 1 (a 9-3 loss) after Shohei Ohtani was scratched from his scheduled start. Combine that with Thursday's off day, and the Boys in Blue are well-positioned to strike back tonight.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.49 ERA) has great results against these hitters (.172 AVG, .505 OPS) and represents an enormous starting pitching edge over Brandon Pfaadt (4.95 FIP, 95 Stuff+).

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been entirely ineffective against right-handed pitching (70 wRC+), and L.A. will plate enough runs against Pfaadt to create separation. Play the run line to -135.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Yoshinobu Yamamoto will positively cook with his unhittable splitter (19 wRC+) against a Diamondbacks lineup with the worst results in the league against the offering (-13 runs above average).

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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-138)

L.A. has played to the Under in 10 of Yamamoto's last 15 starts. He's in peak form, posting a 0.77 WHIP and .163 AVG against in his last eight starts, and will prove length after Friday's bullpen game. 

The Dodgers are floundering at the plate with a 99 wRC+ against RHP in the last 14 days. Arizona's bullpen has been lights out in that span (2.91 ERA, 3.05 SIERA), which compensates somewhat for Pfaadt's ineffectiveness.

Arizona has played in low-scoring games outside of hitter-friendly Chase Field (103 Park Factor), going 3-13 O/U in its last 16 road games.

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 26-27, -4.9 units
  • Over/Under bets: Y-Y, +14.9 units

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers weather

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +245 | Dodgers -257
  • Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+113) | Dodgers -1.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+133) | Under 9.5 (-138)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers trend

The Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's last 11 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Saturday, July 11, 2026
First pitch 9:10 p.m. ET
TV Dbacks.TV, SportsNet LA
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt
(2-1, 4.84 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(9-5, 2.49 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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