Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 , 09:21 AM ET • 4 min read

Parker's predictions: The Cards and Bucs will score runs in bunches with the wind blowing out at PNC Park.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
STL
45 %
PIT
55 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o8.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
MLB, Pittsburgh Pirates, Bubba Chandler
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pittsburgh Pirates right-handed pitcher Bubba Chandler.

The St. Louis Cardinals have jumped out to a 2-0 series lead over the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the NL Central rivals will play the third of four games at PNC Park on Wednesday, April 29.

My top Cardinals vs. Pirates predictions and MLB picks call for Pittsburgh to crawl back into the series tonight with a high-scoring win.

Who will win Cardinals vs Pirates today: Pirates moneyline (-142)

St. Louis Cardinals starter Andre Pallante hits the mound with a 4.26 ERA, 4.91 xFIP and an alarming 18.7% blast-contact rate. Add him sporting negative pitch values on two of his three most frequent offerings, and I’m expecting the Pittsburgh Pirates to rough up the righty.

The Bucs sport a ninth-ranked on-base percentage against right-handed arms for the year, and their 45.2% hard-hit rate (per FanGraphs) is second in baseball during their current 3-5 slide.

I’m anticipating statistical correction kicking in at the dish against Pallante for the Pittsburgh lineup.

Covers COVERS INTEL: St. Louis Cardinals rank 26th in bullpen ERA while sporting the second-lowest strikeout percentage in the majors.

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Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-110)

The Over 8.5 is my favorite bet in this game because Bucs righty Bubba Chandler has also started the season slowly, and the wind is forecasted to be blowing out at a decent clip at PNC Park.

Chandler checks in with a 4.88 ERA and 5.30 xFIP alongside a below-average 35.0% squared-up contact rate.

So, with St. Louis and Pittsburgh both sporting a league-average 102 wRC+ against righties this season, I expect nine or more runs tonight.

Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 13-8, +6.29 units
  • Over/Under bets: 5-6, -1.94 units

Cardinals vs Pirates odds

  • Moneyline: Cardinals +125 | Pirates -145
  • Run line: Cardinals +1.5 (-155) | Pirates -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Cardinals vs Pirates trend

The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Over in 28 of their last 50 away games (+6.90 Units / 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cardinals vs. Pirates.

How to watch Cardinals vs Pirates and game info

Location PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Wednesday, April 29, 2026
First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET
TV Cardinals.TV, SportsNet-Pittsburgh
Cardinals starting pitcher Andre Pallante
(2-2, 4.26 ERA)
Pirates starting pitcher Bubba Chandler
(1-2, 4.88 ERA)

Cardinals vs Pirates latest injuries

Cardinals vs Pirates weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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