The Milwaukee Brewers seek a series victory when they visit Great American Ballpark and the Cincinnati Reds for Game 3 of their three-game National League Central series.
With the Brewers lineup holding a solid edge, my Brewers vs. Reds predictions and MLB picks expect the Brewers to win the series in a slugfest.
Who will win Brewers vs Reds today: Pick (61%)
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
The Milwaukee Brewers hold a massive edge on the mound with Kyle Harrison facing Cincinnati Reds starter Brady Singer.
Harrison misses bats at an elite clip with a 29.1% strikeout rate, backed by a stingy 3.52 xERA and a .291 xwOBA. Singer pitches to way too much hard contact, coughing up a 42.6% hard-hit rate and a weak 18.5% strikeout rate.
With lefties Jake Bauers (.372 xwOBA) and Garrett Mitchell (.348 xwOBA) set up to punish Singer's sinker, trade the juice on the 88-win Brewers.
Play this to 65%.
COVERS INTEL: Across the past 14 days, the Milwaukee Brewers are slugging .438 with a third-best .800 OPS. 
Brewers vs Reds Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (56%)
The Over 8.5 is the right look.
While Harrison limits hard contact early, both bullpens enter this game primed to bleed late runs. Over the last 14 days, Cincinnati’s relief corps has been hammered for a 5.76 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 1.39 HR/9.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s 2.68 bullpen ERA is living on borrowed time against an ugly 4.62 FIP, 4.40 xFIP, and 1.34 HR/9.
In a launch pad like Great American Ball Park, expect both pens to cough up late traffic and push this past 8.5.
Play this to 60%.
Brewers vs Reds home run prediction: Jake Bauers (25%)
Jake Bauers looks good to hit a home run today.
Singer’s sinker-heavy approach surrenders a vulnerable 42.6% hard-hit rate and a .342 xwOBA, while Bauers crushes right-handed pitching with elite power metrics.
Bauers leads Milwaukee with a 13.4% barrel rate, a massive 53.1% hard-hit rate, and a .469 xSLG.
In Great American Ball Park’s short porch, expect Bauers to launch Singer’s sinker over the right-field wall.
- ML/RL bets: 10-14 -1.96 units
- Over/Under bets: 12-11 -0.55 units
Brewers vs Reds weather
It will be a sunny and humid day in Cincinnati with 10mph winds blowing out to right-center, which is ideal for plenty of runs today.
Brewers vs Reds odds
- Moneyline: Brewers 58% | Reds 43%
- Run line: Brewers -1.5 (49%) | Reds +1.5 (54%)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (54%) | Under 8.5 (49%)
Brewers vs Reds trend
Over is 6-1 in Brewers' last 7 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Reds.
How to watch Brewers vs Reds and game info
| Location | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date | Sunday, September 6, 2026 |
| First pitch | 12:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Brewers.TV, Reds.TV |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Kyle Harrison (10-4, 3.45 ERA) |
| Reds starting pitcher | Brady Singer (5-13, 4.83 ERA) |
Brewers vs Reds latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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